La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Osasuna
Sociedad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | +24 | +13.2 | 38 |
| 2 |
Girona
|
15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | +16 | +9.0 | 38 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +18 | +13.2 | 31 |
| 4 |
Barcelona
|
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +13 | +14.2 | 31 |
| 5 |
Ath Bilbao
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +12 | +9.5 | 28 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +8 | +1.7 | 25 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | +2 | +1.4 | 24 |
| 8 |
Las Palmas
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +0 | -3.7 | 21 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 | +0.8 | 19 |
| 10 |
Getafe
|
15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -3 | -4.9 | 19 |
| 11 |
Vallecano
|
15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -6 | -5.8 | 19 |
| 12 |
Villarreal
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | -5.3 | 15 |
| 13 |
Alaves
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | +1.1 | 15 |
| 14 |
Osasuna
|
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -8 | -5.7 | 14 |
| 15 |
Sevilla
|
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +0 | -5.3 | 12 |
| 16 |
Cadiz
|
14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -10 | -8.4 | 11 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -7 | -4.2 | 10 |
| 18 |
Celta
|
14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -10 | -3.1 | 8 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -16 | -12.3 | 7 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -21 | -5.4 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Sergio Herrera
G
Jesús Areso
D
Alejandro Catena
D
Juan Cruz
D
Johan Mojica
D
Aimar Oroz
M
Lucas Torró
M
Moi Gómez
M
Rubén García
F
Ante Budimir
F
Coach: Arrasate
Álex Remiro
G
Hamari Traore
D
Igor Zubeldia
D
Robin Le Normand
D
Kieran Tierney
D
Martín Zubimendi
M
Mikel Merino
M
Takefusa Kubo
F
Umar Sadiq
F
Ander Barrenetxea
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Villarreal
Osasuna
Osasuna
Las Palmas
Osasuna
Girona
Betis
Osasuna
Osasuna
Granada
Juan Luis Pulido Santana · 20 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.