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La Liga
Referee: Juan Luis Pulido Santana
Osasuna
S T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Sociedad
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
29%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,69 xG 1,77
28% Possession 72%
9 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 14. · Sociedad 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 15 12 2 1 +24 +13.2 38
2 Girona 15 12 2 1 +16 +9.0 38
3 Ath Madrid 13 10 1 2 +18 +13.2 31
4 Barcelona 14 9 4 1 +13 +14.2 31
5 Ath Bilbao 15 8 4 3 +12 +9.5 28
6 Sociedad 14 7 4 3 +8 +1.7 25
7 Betis 14 6 6 2 +2 +1.4 24
8 Las Palmas 15 6 3 6 +0 -3.7 21
9 Valencia 15 5 4 6 -3 +0.8 19
10 Getafe 15 4 7 4 -3 -4.9 19
11 Vallecano 15 4 7 4 -6 -5.8 19
12 Villarreal 14 4 3 7 -4 -5.3 15
13 Alaves 14 4 3 7 -5 +1.1 15
14 Osasuna 14 4 2 8 -8 -5.7 14
15 Sevilla 13 2 6 5 +0 -5.3 12
16 Cadiz 14 2 5 7 -10 -8.4 11
17 Mallorca 14 1 7 6 -7 -4.2 10
18 Celta 14 1 5 8 -10 -3.1 8
19 Granada 15 1 4 10 -16 -12.3 7
20 Almeria 14 0 3 11 -21 -5.4 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Sociedad
1–0 Moi Gómez
Ante Budimir
2′
16′
🔁 Arsen Zakharyan
↦ Ander Barrenetxea
41′
Umar Sadiq 1–1
Igor Zubeldia
Half-time 1–1
49′
🟨 Kieran Tierney
Jorge Herrando 🔁
↦ Johan Mojica
55′
Alejandro Catena 🟨
58′
Ante Budimir 🟨
61′
64′
🟨 Takefusa Kubo
Jon Moncayola 🔁
↦ Rubén García
64′
74′
🔁 Aihen Muñoz
↦ Kieran Tierney
Chimy Ávila 🔁
↦ Aimar Oroz
75′
Raúl García 🔁
↦ Ante Budimir
75′
Nacho Vidal 🔁
↦ Juan Cruz
75′
75′
🔁 Mikel Oyarzabal
↦ Umar Sadiq
84′
🟨 Robin Le Normand
Raúl García 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 André Silva
↦ Arsen Zakharyan
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Osasuna

5-3-2
1 Sergio Herrera G
12 Jesús Areso D
5 David García D
24 Alejandro Catena D
3 Juan Cruz D
22 Johan Mojica D
10 Aimar Oroz M
6 Lucas Torró M
16 Moi Gómez M
14 Rubén García F
17 Ante Budimir F
Bench (11)
28 Jorge Herrando
7 Jon Moncayola
2 Nacho Vidal
23 Raúl García
9 Chimy Ávila
31 Pablo Valencia
13 Aitor Fernández
4 Unai García
34 Iker Munoz
19 Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
20 José Manuel Arnáiz

Coach: Arrasate

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Hamari Traore D
5 Igor Zubeldia D
24 Robin Le Normand D
17 Kieran Tierney D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
14 Takefusa Kubo F
19 Umar Sadiq F
7 Ander Barrenetxea F
Bench (12)
12 Arsen Zakharyan
3 Aihen Muñoz
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
21 André Silva
32 Unai Marrero
26 Urko González
20 Jon Pacheco
6 Aritz Elustondo
2 Álvaro Odriozola
22 Beñat Turrientes
16 Jon Ander Olasagasti
11 Mohamed-Ali Cho

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,57
U ✓
3,23
B
2,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Luis Pulido Santana · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.