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Serie B

Referee: G Manganiello

Spezia

U T U U T

0–1

Full-time

Parma

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,7

Scored

0,5

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 36%

64%

Points per game

0,7

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 54%

43%

64%

Average goals

2,2

2,9

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

6 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 7

5 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 19. · Parma 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	15	10	3	2	+13	33
2	Parma	14	9	3	2	+15	30
3	Catanzaro	15	8	3	4	+5	27
4	Cremonese	15	7	5	3	+9	26
5	Modena	15	7	5	3	+2	26
6	Como	14	7	4	3	+3	25
7	Cittadella	15	7	4	4	+0	25
8	Palermo	15	7	3	5	+7	24
9	Cosenza	15	5	4	6	+1	19
10	Sampdoria	14	5	3	6	-1	18
11	Bari	14	3	9	2	-1	18
12	Pisa	15	4	6	5	-1	18
13	Sudtirol	14	4	5	5	+1	17
14	Reggiana	15	3	7	5	-4	16
15	Brescia	14	3	6	5	-3	15
16	Ascoli	15	3	4	8	-6	13
17	Lecco	14	3	4	7	-8	13
18	Ternana	15	2	5	8	-4	11
19	Spezia	14	1	7	6	-9	10
20	FeralpiSalo	15	1	4	10	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Parma	8	5	3	0	+8	18
3	Como	7	4	2	1	+2	14
4	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+0	14
5	Catanzaro	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Modena	8	4	1	3	-1	13
7	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	+4	11
8	Palermo	8	3	1	4	+1	10
9	Sudtirol	7	2	3	2	+2	9
10	Cremonese	8	2	3	3	+1	9
11	Sampdoria	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Reggiana	7	1	5	1	-1	8
13	Bari	7	1	5	1	-2	8
14	Ascoli	6	2	1	3	+1	7
15	Pisa	8	1	4	3	-2	7
16	Ternana	8	1	3	4	-1	6
17	Brescia	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	Spezia	6	0	4	2	-2	4
19	Lecco	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	FeralpiSalo	7	0	2	5	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Palermo	7	4	2	1	+6	14
3	Venezia	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Catanzaro	8	4	2	2	+2	14
5	Modena	7	3	4	0	+3	13
6	Parma	6	4	0	2	+7	12
7	Como	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Bari	7	2	4	1	+1	10
11	Brescia	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Sampdoria	7	2	3	2	+0	9
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	Sudtirol	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Reggiana	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Cosenza	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Ascoli	9	1	3	5	-7	6
18	Spezia	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	Ternana	7	1	2	4	-3	5
20	FeralpiSalo	8	1	2	5	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.