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Ligue 2
Referee: N Rainville
Guingamp
U S U U S
0–1
Full-time
Paris FC
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 6. · Paris FC 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 15 10 2 3 +8 32
2 Angers 15 9 3 3 +12 30
3 Grenoble 15 7 6 2 +5 27
4 Auxerre 15 7 5 3 +14 26
5 Pau FC 15 7 4 4 +1 25
6 Guingamp 15 6 6 3 +8 24
7 St Etienne 15 7 3 5 +2 24
8 Ajaccio 15 6 5 4 +1 23
9 Rodez 15 5 5 5 +1 20
10 Amiens 15 5 5 5 -3 20
11 Concarneau 15 5 4 6 -3 19
12 Bordeaux 16 5 4 7 -6 19
13 Annecy 15 4 6 5 -3 18
14 Paris FC 15 5 2 8 -3 17
15 Bastia 15 4 5 6 -5 17
16 Caen 15 4 4 7 -1 16
17 Troyes 16 3 7 6 -2 16
18 Quevilly Rouen 15 2 6 7 -4 12
19 Dunkerque 15 3 3 9 -11 12
20 Valenciennes 15 1 7 7 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Paris FC
Donatien Gomis 🟨
33′
Amine El Ouazzani 🟨
38′
43′
🟨 Jules Gaudin
Half-time 0–0
Dylan Louiserre 🟨
69′
70′
I. Kebbal 0–1
M. Merghem 🔁
↦ H. Picard
71′
76′
🔁 A. Jabbari
↦ P. Hamel
76′
🔁 J. Lukembila
↦ J. Gaudin
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ A. El Ouazzani
79′
G. Courtet 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
79′
B. Roux 🔁
↦ D. Louiserre
79′
84′
🟨 Obed Nkambadio
84′
🔁 Y. Demoncy
↦ I. Kebbal
85′
🟨 Cyril Mandouki
92′
🔁 L. Diaby-Fadiga
↦ A. Gory
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
24 P. Lemonnier D
25 A. Ben Mohamed D
20 H. Picard M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibé M
11 A. Sagna M
21 B. Guillaume F
9 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (7)
10 M. Merghem
17 J. Siwe
18 G. Courtet
2 B. Roux
19 J. Iglesias
30 B. Niasse
15 V. Manceau

Coach: S. Dumont

Paris FC

3-4-3
16 O. Nkambadio G
25 Y. Koré D
13 K. Dabila D
5 M. Mbow D
22 S. Alakouch M
14 C. Mandouki M
17 A. Camara M
27 J. Gaudin M
10 I. Kebbal F
29 P. Hamel F
7 A. Gory F
Bench (7)
38 A. Jabbari
23 J. Lukembila
8 Y. Demoncy
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga
11 A. Pembélé
40 I. Filipović
33 D. Colau

Coach: S. Gilli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,25
B ✓
3,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.