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Serie B
Referee: D Perenzoni
Cosenza
T U U S T
1–3
Full-time
Ternana
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Ternana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 22%
36%
7%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 9. · Ternana 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 14 9 3 2 +15 30
2 Venezia 14 9 3 2 +11 30
3 Catanzaro 15 8 3 4 +5 27
4 Cremonese 14 7 4 3 +9 25
5 Como 14 7 4 3 +3 25
6 Palermo 15 7 3 5 +7 24
7 Modena 14 6 5 3 +1 23
8 Cittadella 14 6 4 4 -1 22
9 Cosenza 14 5 4 5 +3 19
10 Sampdoria 14 5 3 6 -1 18
11 Bari 14 3 9 2 -1 18
12 Sudtirol 14 4 5 5 +1 17
13 Pisa 14 4 5 5 -1 17
14 Reggiana 14 3 7 4 -3 16
15 Brescia 14 3 6 5 -3 15
16 Ascoli 14 3 4 7 -4 13
17 Lecco 14 3 4 7 -8 13
18 Spezia 14 1 7 6 -9 10
19 Ternana 14 1 5 8 -6 8
20 FeralpiSalo 14 1 4 9 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Ternana
F. Forte 🔁
↦ L. Canotto
36′
43′
🟨 Alessandro Celli
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Favasuli
↦ A. Celli
49′
T. Casasola 0–1
C. Favasuli
1–1 G. Tutino
55′
60′
🟨 Kees de Boer
60′
A. Raimondo 1–2
F. Distefano
Aldo Florenzi 🟨
62′
68′
A. Raimondo 1–3
S. Diakité
T. D'Orazio 🔁
↦ B. Cimino
69′
M. Marras 🔁
↦ A. Florenzi
69′
70′
🔁 F. Dionisi
↦ K. de Boer
70′
🔁 N. Pyyhtiä
↦ F. Distefano
Giacomo Calò 🟥
73′
I. Voca 🔁
↦ S. Mazzocchi
75′
77′
🔁 V. Mantovani
↦ T. Casasola
84′
🔁 G. Luperini
↦ C. Falletti
87′
🟨 Frederik Sørensen
89′
🟨 Costantino Favasuli
Manuel Marras 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
1 A. Micai G
17 B. Cimino D
2 F. Sgarbi D
13 A. Meroni D
27 P. Martino D
14 G. Calò M
26 M. Praszelik M
31 L. Canotto M
30 S. Mazzocchi M
34 A. Florenzi M
9 G. Tutino F
Bench (12)
10 F. Forte
11 T. D'Orazio
7 M. Marras
42 I. Voca
19 V. Crespi
98 F. Zuccon
6 A. Fontanarosa
20 A. Arioli
77 L. Marson
33 D. La Vardera
21 M. Zilli
3 A. Rispoli

Coach: F. Caserta

Ternana

3-4-1-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
23 S. Diakité D
4 F. Sørensen D
44 L. Lucchesi D
15 T. Casasola M
8 K. de Boer M
25 J. Łabojko M
3 A. Celli M
10 C. Falletti F
9 A. Raimondo F
28 F. Distefano F
Bench (11)
27 C. Favasuli
65 F. Dionisi
66 N. Pyyhtiä
13 V. Mantovani
71 G. Luperini
18 T. Vitali
20 E. Salandra
73 A. Mărginean
30 O. Garau
77 Gabriel Brazão
19 M. Capuano

Coach: R. Breda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
3,32
B ✓
3,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Perenzoni · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.