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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Exner
Magdeburg
T U T T S
4–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
29%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
50%
86%
Both score Ø 75%
71%
79%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
18 Shots 19
11 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 13. · Kaiserslautern 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 15 8 7 0 +16 31
2 Holstein Kiel 15 9 2 4 +6 29
3 Hamburg 15 8 4 3 +10 28
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 15 8 3 4 +16 27
5 Greuther Furth 15 8 3 4 +7 27
6 Elversberg 14 7 3 4 +3 24
7 Hannover 14 6 5 3 +11 23
8 Wehen 15 6 3 6 -1 21
9 Nurnberg 15 6 3 6 -8 21
10 Hertha 14 5 3 6 +2 18
11 Kaiserslautern 14 5 3 6 -3 18
12 Paderborn 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 Magdeburg 14 4 4 6 +0 16
14 Karlsruhe 14 4 4 6 -1 16
15 Schalke 04 15 5 1 9 -6 16
16 Hansa Rostock 14 5 1 8 -6 16
17 Braunschweig 15 2 2 11 -18 8
18 Osnabruck 15 1 4 10 -23 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Kaiserslautern
1–0 L. Castaignos
S. Gnaka
17′
19′
🟨 Jean Zimmer
25′
T. Boyd 1–1
J. Zimmer
Herbert Bockhorn 🟨
30′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 H. Bockhorn
B. Atik
51′
Amara Condé 🟨
58′
T. Ito 🔁
↦ B. Atik
59′
Luc Castaignos 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 N. Soldo
↦ K. Kraus
63′
🔁 D. Hanslik
↦ T. Boyd
L. Schuler 🔁
↦ L. Castaignos
68′
C. Krempicki 🔁
↦ A. Condé
68′
3–1 C. Krempicki
75′
76′
🔁 P. Hercher
↦ R. Tachie
76′
🔁 K. Redondo
↦ M. Ritter
A. Nollenberger 🔁
↦ L. Schuler
82′
A. Hoti 🔁
↦ S. Gnaka
83′
4–1 C. Piccini
85′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-4-2-1
1 D. Reimann G
2 C. Piccini D
6 Daniel Elfadli D
15 D. Heber D
7 H. Bockhorn M
25 S. Gnaka M
29 A. Condé M
19 L. Bell Bell M
20 X. Amaechi F
23 B. Atik F
9 L. Castaignos F
Bench (9)
37 T. Ito
26 L. Schuler
13 C. Krempicki
17 A. Nollenberger
3 A. Hoti
5 J. Lawrence
27 M. Cacutalua
8 A. Arslan
30 N. Kruth

Coach: C. Titz

Kaiserslautern

18 J. Krahl G
6 A. Touré D
5 K. Kraus D
33 J. Elvedi D
8 J. Zimmer M
20 T. Raschl M
16 J. Niehues M
15 T. Puchacz M
7 M. Ritter F
29 R. Tachie F
13 T. Boyd F
Bench (9)
14 N. Soldo
19 D. Hanslik
23 P. Hercher
11 K. Redondo
27 L. Lobinger
1 A. Luthe
21 H. Zuck
10 P. Klement
37 E. Durm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,82
B
3,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,46
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Exner · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.