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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Hibernian
U T U U U
1–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
7 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 8. · Kilmarnock 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 12 10 2 0 +21 32
2 Rangers 11 8 0 3 +18 24
3 St Mirren 11 5 4 2 +4 19
4 Kilmarnock 12 4 4 4 +1 16
5 Hearts 11 4 2 5 -1 14
6 Dundee 11 3 5 3 -5 14
7 Aberdeen 10 3 3 4 +0 12
8 Hibernian 12 2 6 4 -3 12
9 Motherwell 12 3 3 6 -5 12
10 ST Johnstone 12 2 5 5 -10 11
11 Ross County 12 2 4 6 -10 10
12 Livingston 12 2 4 6 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Sep -23 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 2–2 18. Feb -23 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–0 12. Nov -22 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–0 3. Sep -22 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 1–0 16. Jan -21 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–0

Match report

Hibernian Kilmarnock
36′
🟨 Liam Donnelly
1–0 J. Campbell ⚽
M. Boyle
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Kennedy
↦ L. Donnelly
51′
🟨 Bradley Lyons
É. Youan 🔁
↦ D. Vente
56′
61′
🟨 Joe Wright
J. Jeggo 🔁
↦ D. Levitt
68′
75′
🔁 A. Dallas
↦ L. Polworth
82′
🟨 Stuart Findlay
87′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ D. Watson
87′
🔁 T. Davies
↦ R. Deas
87′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ D. Armstrong
Josh Campbell 🟨
89′
91′
🟨 Rory McKenzie
L. Stevenson 🔁
↦ Jair Tavares
93′
Lewis Miller 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 D. Marshall G
2 L. Miller D
5 W. Fish D
33 R. Bushiri D
21 J. Obita D
32 J. Campbell M
6 D. Levitt M
11 J. Newell M
29 Jair Tavares M
10 M. Boyle F
9 D. Vente F
Bench (9)
7 É. Youan
14 J. Jeggo
16 L. Stevenson
4 P. Hanlon
13 J. Wollacott
26 R. Harbottle
28 A. Delferrière
49 R. Whittaker
53 J. Landers

Coach: N. Montgomery

Kilmarnock

3-4-2-1
1 W. Dennis G
4 J. Wright D
5 L. Mayo D
17 S. Findlay D
11 D. Armstrong M
8 B. Lyons M
22 L. Donnelly M
6 R. Deas M
12 D. Watson F
31 L. Polworth F
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
10 M. Kennedy
21 A. Dallas
15 F. Murray
19 T. Davies
7 R. McKenzie
18 I. Cameron
30 A. Glavin
14 J. Sanders
25 S. Warnock

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
🔒
U
3,41
🔒
B
3,35
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,95
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,83
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.