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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Ajaccio
T S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Angers
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 27%
27%
27%
Average goals
1,9
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 8. · Angers 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 15 10 2 3 +8 32
2 Angers 15 9 3 3 +12 30
3 Grenoble 15 7 6 2 +5 27
4 Auxerre 15 7 5 3 +14 26
5 Pau FC 15 7 4 4 +1 25
6 Guingamp 15 6 6 3 +8 24
7 St Etienne 15 7 3 5 +2 24
8 Ajaccio 15 6 5 4 +1 23
9 Rodez 15 5 5 5 +1 20
10 Amiens 15 5 5 5 -3 20
11 Concarneau 15 5 4 6 -3 19
12 Bordeaux 16 5 4 7 -6 19
13 Annecy 15 4 6 5 -3 18
14 Paris FC 15 5 2 8 -3 17
15 Bastia 15 4 5 6 -5 17
16 Caen 15 4 4 7 -1 16
17 Troyes 16 3 7 6 -2 16
18 Quevilly Rouen 15 2 6 7 -4 12
19 Dunkerque 15 3 3 9 -11 12
20 Valenciennes 15 1 7 7 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajaccio Angers
1–0 V. Jacob
V. Marchetti
28′
Thibault Campanini 🟨
36′
42′
F. El Melali 1–1
Y. Valery
Half-time 1–1
60′
🔁 L. Rao-Lisoa
↦ Z. Ferhat
60′
🔁 J. Bahoya
↦ F. El Melali
Maxime Chanot 🟨
64′
66′
🟨 Cédric Hountondji
R. Nouri 🔁
↦ B. Touré
67′
69′
🔁 I. Niané
↦ P. Capelle
I. Chegra 🔁
↦ V. Jacob
75′
Vincent Marchetti 🟨
76′
85′
🔁 A. Hunou
↦ L. Diony
M. Puch-Herrantz 🔁
↦ V. Marchetti
86′
T. Strata 🔁
↦ T. Campanini
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ajaccio

4-5-1
16 F. Sollacaro G
20 M. Youssouf D
2 M. Chanot D
5 C. Vidal D
27 T. Campanini D
10 Y. Bammou M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
6 T. Mangani M
8 V. Marchetti M
19 V. Jacob M
11 B. Touré F
Bench (7)
7 R. Nouri
38 I. Chegra
37 M. Puch-Herrantz
31 T. Strata
18 M. Soumano
35 A. Khelifa
30 G. Quilichini

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Angers

4-4-1-1
30 Y. Fofana G
2 Y. Valery D
25 A. Bamba D
22 C. Hountondji D
21 J. Lefort D
20 Z. Ferhat M
8 J. Lopy M
15 P. Capelle M
28 F. El Melali M
10 H. Abdelli F
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
27 L. Rao-Lisoa
24 J. Bahoya
7 I. Niané
23 A. Hunou
26 F. Hanin
16 M. Zinga
12 Z. Ould Khaled

Coach: A. Dujeux

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U ✓
2,96
B
3,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,55
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.