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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Celtic
S S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
0,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 66%
92%
40%
Points per game
2,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
76%
68%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
56%
Average goals
3,8
3,4
Scored
3,1
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+2,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

78% Possession 22%
20 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Aberdeen 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 25 23 1 1 +60 70
2 Rangers 25 19 4 2 +35 61
3 Hearts 25 12 6 7 +10 42
4 Livingston 24 10 5 9 -7 35
5 Hibernian 25 10 4 11 -1 34
6 St Mirren 25 9 6 10 -8 33
7 Aberdeen 25 10 2 13 -8 32
8 ST Johnstone 25 8 3 14 -13 27
9 Motherwell 25 6 5 14 -10 23
10 Kilmarnock 25 6 5 14 -23 23
11 Ross County 25 5 6 14 -18 21
12 Dundee United 24 5 5 14 -17 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Dec -22 Aberdeen – Celtic 0–1 31. Jul -22 Celtic – Aberdeen 2–0 9. Feb -22 Aberdeen – Celtic 2–3 28. Nov -21 Celtic – Aberdeen 2–1 3. Oct -21 Aberdeen – Celtic 1–2

Match report

Celtic Aberdeen
1–0 C. McGregor ⚽
2′
2–0 R. Hatate ⚽
G. Taylor
13′
Daizen Maeda ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 H. Coulson
↦ B. Miovski
T. Iwata 🔁
↦ M. ORiley
63′
S. Hakšabanović 🔁
↦ Jota
63′
63′
🔁 R. Duncan
↦ L. Clarkson
L. Abada 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
64′
K. Furuhashi 🔁
↦ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
72′
3–0 R. Hatate ⚽
76′
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
79′
82′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ Duk
4–0 L. Abada ⚽
S. Hakšabanović
89′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 C. Starfelt D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
17 Jota F
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
24 T. Iwata
9 S. Hakšabanović
11 L. Abada
8 K. Furuhashi
49 J. Forrest
29 S. Bain
25 A. Bernabei
18 Y. Kobayashi
56 A. Ralston

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Aberdeen

3-5-2
19 J. Gorter G
18 M. Pollock D
27 A. MacDonald D
3 J. MacKenzie D
33 M. Kennedy M
16 Y. Ramadani M
20 L. Clarkson M
6 G. Shinnie M
17 J. Hayes M
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
22 H. Coulson
23 R. Duncan
15 M. Watkins
10 D. Markanday
25 J. Richardson
14 P. Myslovič
1 J. Lewis
37 C. Roberts
21 D. Polvara

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
🔒
U
7,90
🔒
B
16,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,38
🔒
U2,5
2,95
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.