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Conference League
Referee: S Gishamer
Aberdeen
T S S U U
2–3
Full-time
PAOK
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Conference League · 2/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,36 xG 2,75
29% Possession 71%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Aberdeen PAOK
37′
🟨 Stefan Schwab
Half-time 1–0
1–0 B. Miovski ⚽
J. MacKenzie
50′
2–0 D. Polvara ⚽
B. Miovski
58′
63′
🔁 M. Ozdoev
↦ T. Tsingaras
63′
🔁 A. Baba
↦ Rafa Soares
64′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ Brandon Thomas
Duk 🔁
↦ B. Miovski
72′
J. Hayes 🔁
↦ D. Polvara
72′
L. Clarkson 🔁
↦ C. Barron
73′
73′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ Taison
73′
⚽ K. Despodov 2–1
G. Konstantelias
84′
⚽ Vieirinha 2–2
91′
🟨 William Troost-Ekong
94′
ℹ️ Magomed Ozdoev
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Slobodan Rubežić 🟨
95′
96′
⚽ S. Schwab 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Aberdeen

5-4-1
24 K. Roos G
2 N. Devlin D
6 S. Gartenmann D
33 S. Rubežić D
5 R. Jensen D
3 J. MacKenzie D
21 D. Polvara M
4 G. Shinnie M
8 C. Barron M
7 J. McGrath M
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (12)
11 Duk
17 J. Hayes
10 L. Clarkson
32 F. Marshall
30 O. Dadia
14 P. Guèye
27 A. MacDonald
23 R. Duncan
28 J. Milne
19 E. Sokler
31 R. Doohan
18 R. Williams

Coach: B. Robson

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
20 Vieirinha D
15 W. Troost-Ekong D
4 K. Koulierakis D
55 Rafa Soares D
6 T. Tsingaras M
22 S. Schwab M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (12)
27 M. Ozdoev
21 A. Baba
33 M. Samatta
77 K. Despodov
95 S. Tzimas
5 G. Michailidis
18 Ž. Živković
16 T. Kędziora
19 L. Lyratzis
64 C. Talichmanidis
29 G. Vrakas
10 T. Murg

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.