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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Celtic
S S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

0,89 xG 2,09
53% Possession 47%
6 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Celtic Ath Madrid
1–0 K. Furuhashi ⚽
M. O'Riley
4′
Paulo Bernardo 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
7′
25′
⚽ A. Griezmann 1–1
2–1 L. Palma ⚽
D. Maeda
28′
Cameron Carter-Vickers 🟨
30′
35′
🟨 Rodrigo de Paul
38′
🟨 Javi Galán
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Marcos Llorente
↦ Javi Galán
46′
🔁 Rodrigo Riquelme
↦ Saúl
49′
🟨 Nahuel Molina
Luis Palma 🟨
51′
53′
⚽ Álvaro Morata 2–2
Marcos Llorente
Greg Taylor 🟨
59′
N. Phillips 🔁
↦ L. Palma
62′
73′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ Álvaro Morata
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
80′
82′
🟨 Stefan Savić
82′
🟨 Rodrigo de Paul
82′
🟥 Rodrigo de Paul
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
38 D. Maeda F
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (12)
28 Paulo Bernardo
6 N. Phillips
49 J. Forrest
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
4 G. Lagerbielke
24 T. Iwata
56 A. Ralston
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
90 M. Johnston
14 D. Turnbull
29 S. Bain
43 J. Morrison

Coach: B. Rodgers

Ath Madrid

3-5-2
13 J. Oblak G
15 S. Savić D
20 A. Witsel D
22 Hermoso D
16 N. Molina M
5 R. De Paul M
6 Koke M
8 Saúl M
17 Javi Galán M
7 A. Griezmann F
19 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (8)
14 Marcos Llorente
25 Rodrigo Riquelme
10 Á. Correa
4 Ç. Söyüncü
1 I. Grbić
3 César Azpilicueta
31 Antonio Gomis
24 Pablo Barrios

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.