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Champions League
Referee: D Rumšas
Celtic
S S T S S
1–2
Full-time
Lazio
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,13 xG 0,77
55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
5 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celtic Lazio
-5′
🟨 Luigi Sepe
1–0 K. Furuhashi ⚽
M. O'Riley
12′
29′
⚽ M. Vecino 1–1
A. Romagnoli
Half-time 1–1
Nathaniel Phillips 🟨
47′
61′
🟨 Luis Alberto
C. Carter-Vickers 🔁
↦ N. Phillips
62′
L. Palma 🔁
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
62′
68′
🔁 G. Isaksen
↦ Felipe Anderson
68′
🔁 M. Guendouzi
↦ Luis Alberto
Paulo Bernardo 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
72′
72′
🔁 V. Castellanos
↦ C. Immobile
74′
🟨 Valentin Castellanos
Luis Palma 🟨
82′
Luis Palma ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
83′
84′
🔁 Pedro
↦ M. Zaccagni
84′
🔁 A. Marušić
↦ M. Lazzari
Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
86′
93′
🟨 Matías Vecino
95′
⚽ Pedro 1–2
M. Guendouzi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
6 N. Phillips D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
38 D. Maeda F
8 K. Furuhashi F
13 Yang Hyun-Jun F
Bench (11)
20 C. Carter-Vickers
7 L. Palma
28 Paulo Bernardo
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
14 D. Turnbull
24 T. Iwata
43 J. Morrison
29 S. Bain
90 M. Johnston
49 J. Forrest
56 A. Ralston

Coach: B. Rodgers

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
29 M. Lazzari D
4 Patric D
13 A. Romagnoli D
23 E. Hysaj D
6 D. Kamada M
5 M. Vecino M
10 Luis Alberto M
7 Felipe Anderson F
17 C. Immobile F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (12)
18 G. Isaksen
8 M. Guendouzi
19 V. Castellanos
9 Pedro
77 A. Marušić
33 L. Sepe
32 D. Cataldi
53 F. Magro
34 Mario Gila
65 N. Rovella
15 N. Casale
3 L. Pellegrini

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Rumšas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.