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Ligue 2
Referee: R Buquet
Bastia
U T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Annecy
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Annecy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
6 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 4
5 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 14. · Annecy 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 10 8 1 1 +8 25
2 Grenoble 9 5 4 0 +7 19
3 Auxerre 9 5 3 1 +11 18
4 Angers 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 St Etienne 9 5 2 2 +4 17
6 Guingamp 9 4 2 3 +6 14
7 Rodez 9 4 2 3 +2 14
8 Pau FC 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 Amiens 9 4 2 3 +0 14
10 Caen 9 4 1 4 +5 13
11 Ajaccio 9 3 4 2 -2 13
12 Bordeaux 10 3 3 4 -4 12
13 Annecy 9 2 5 2 -1 11
14 Bastia 9 2 2 5 -7 8
15 Concarneau 9 2 2 5 -7 8
16 Troyes 9 1 4 4 -2 7
17 Paris FC 9 2 1 6 -4 7
18 Dunkerque 9 1 3 5 -7 6
19 Valenciennes 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Quevilly Rouen 9 1 2 6 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Annecy
10′
🟨 Ahmed Kashi
17′
🟨 Michel Diaz
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Liénard
C. Vincent
59′
F. Tomi 🔁
↦ R. Yapi
67′
F. Bianchini 🔁
↦ K. Djoco
67′
70′
🔁 S. Ntamack Ndimba
↦ A. Kashi
2–0 F. Conte
F. Bianchini
70′
Cheick Keita 🟨
78′
79′
🟨 Martin Adeline
80′
🔁 K. Testud
↦ A. Larose
J. Maggiotti 🔁
↦ C. Vincent
81′
81′
🔁 T. Delphis
↦ M. Diaz
M. Alfarela 🔁
↦ F. Conte
84′
Felix Tomi 🟨
86′
89′
V. Pajot 2–1
K. Testud
Dimitri Liénard 🟨
98′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bastia

5-3-2
30 J. Placide G
27 R. Yapi D
95 C. Keita D
5 I. Dramé D
4 A. Roncaglia D
11 D. Liénard D
7 C. Vincent M
13 T. Ducrocq M
66 J. Janneh M
39 K. Djoco F
31 F. Conte F
Bench (7)
18 F. Tomi
17 F. Bianchini
8 J. Maggiotti
10 M. Alfarela
91 S. Lega
19 M. Loubatieres
23 J. Fabri

Coach: R. Brouard

Annecy

4-3-3
1 F. Escales G
4 M. Diaz D
6 F. Lajugie D
13 G. Jean D
20 Y. Barry D
17 V. Pajot M
5 A. Kashi M
21 M. Adeline M
28 A. Larose F
10 W. Caddy F
18 N. Kandil F
Bench (7)
19 S. Ntamack Ndimba
12 K. Testud
41 T. Delphis
29 Z. Bengueddoudj
8 J. Gonçalvés
16 T. Callens
27 S. Shamal

Coach: L. Guyot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,34
B
3,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.