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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
St Etienne
U S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Ajaccio
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
33%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
44%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 5. · Ajaccio 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 10 8 1 1 +8 25
2 Grenoble 9 5 4 0 +7 19
3 Auxerre 9 5 3 1 +11 18
4 Angers 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 St Etienne 9 5 2 2 +4 17
6 Guingamp 9 4 2 3 +6 14
7 Rodez 9 4 2 3 +2 14
8 Pau FC 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 Amiens 9 4 2 3 +0 14
10 Caen 9 4 1 4 +5 13
11 Ajaccio 9 3 4 2 -2 13
12 Bordeaux 10 3 3 4 -4 12
13 Annecy 9 2 5 2 -1 11
14 Bastia 9 2 2 5 -7 8
15 Concarneau 9 2 2 5 -7 8
16 Troyes 9 1 4 4 -2 7
17 Paris FC 9 2 1 6 -4 7
18 Dunkerque 9 1 3 5 -7 6
19 Valenciennes 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Quevilly Rouen 9 1 2 6 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Ajaccio
Mathieu Cafaro 🟨
27′
M. Bentayg 🔁
↦ S. Diarra
29′
Half-time 0–0
Anthony Briançon 🟨
55′
D. Chambost 🔁
↦ L. Fomba
65′
A. Moueffek 🔁
↦ B. Bouchouari
65′
65′
🔁 B. Touré
↦ Y. Touzghar
G. Charbonnier 🔁
↦ I. Sissoko
72′
V. Lobry 🔁
↦ L. Pétrot
73′
74′
🔁 Everson
↦ Y. Bammou
74′
🔁 V. Jacob
↦ M. Barreto
85′
🟨 Stephen Quemper
86′
🟨 Mathieu Michel
90′
🔁 M. Puch-Herrantz
↦ V. Marchetti
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-3-3
30 G. Larsonneur G
8 D. Appiah D
21 D. Batubinsika D
23 A. Briançon D
19 L. Pétrot D
6 B. Bouchouari M
5 F. Tardieu M
26 L. Fomba M
18 M. Cafaro F
9 I. Sissoko F
17 S. Diarra F
Bench (7)
13 M. Bentayg
14 D. Chambost
29 A. Moueffek
10 G. Charbonnier
22 V. Lobry
20 M. Rivera
42 E. Green

Coach: L. Batlles

Ajaccio

4-1-4-1
1 M. Michel G
20 M. Youssouf D
2 M. Chanot D
21 C. Avinel D
3 S. Quemper D
6 T. Mangani M
10 Y. Bammou M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
8 V. Marchetti M
4 M. Barreto M
9 Y. Touzghar F
Bench (7)
11 B. Touré
17 Everson
19 V. Jacob
37 M. Puch-Herrantz
31 T. Strata
16 F. Sollacaro
5 C. Vidal

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U ✓
3,26
B
3,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.