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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Hearts
T T S T S
2–2
Full-time
Hibernian
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
0%
57%
Both score Ø 29%
0%
57%
Average goals
1,1
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
0,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
21 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 10
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 4. · Hibernian 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 7 6 1 0 +12 19
2 St Mirren 7 4 3 0 +4 15
3 Rangers 7 4 0 3 +5 12
4 Hearts 7 3 1 3 +2 10
5 Motherwell 7 3 1 3 +0 10
6 Hibernian 7 2 2 3 +1 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 +0 8
8 Kilmarnock 7 1 4 2 -1 7
9 Dundee 7 1 4 2 -3 7
10 Livingston 7 1 4 2 -6 7
11 Ross County 7 2 1 4 -6 7
12 ST Johnstone 7 0 3 4 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Hibernian
Lawrence Shankland 🟨
5′
Cameron Devlin 🟨
8′
15′
🟨 William Fish
1–0 A. Forrest
F. Kent
28′
Half-time 1–0
O. Offiah 🔁
↦ S. Kingsley
47′
1–1 C. Doidge
own goal
58′
59′
🔁 A. Le Fondre
↦ C. Doidge
B. Baningime 🔁
↦ A. Lowry
62′
66′
É. Youan 1–2
68′
É. Youan 1–3
J. Grant 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
72′
L. Boyce 🔁
↦ K. Vargas
72′
77′
🔁 P. Hanlon
↦ R. Bushiri
78′
🔁 D. Levitt
↦ J. Jeggo
78′
🔁 M. Boruc
↦ D. Marshall
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
28 Z. Clark G
21 T. Sibbick D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
3 S. Kingsley D
14 C. Devlin M
8 C. Nieuwenhof M
17 A. Forrest M
51 A. Lowry M
77 K. Vargas M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
29 O. Offiah
6 B. Baningime
7 J. Grant
10 L. Boyce
16 A. Halliday
5 P. Haring
30 K. Tagawa
12 M. McGovern
22 A. Denholm

Coach: S. Naismith

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 D. Marshall G
2 L. Miller D
5 W. Fish D
33 R. Bushiri D
21 J. Obita D
7 É. Youan M
14 J. Jeggo M
11 J. Newell M
10 M. Boyle M
23 C. Doidge F
9 D. Vente F
Bench (9)
19 A. Le Fondre
4 P. Hanlon
6 D. Levitt
25 M. Boruc
26 R. Harbottle
28 A. Delferrière
16 L. Stevenson
49 R. Whittaker
32 J. Campbell

Coach: N. Montgomery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U ✓
3,44
B
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.