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LaLiga2
Referee: Iosu Galech
Santander
S U S T T
3–2
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
44%
22%
Average goals
2,1
1,8
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
20 Shots 21
7 Shots on target 8
7 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 12. · Sp Gijon 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 9 6 2 1 +11 20
2 Zaragoza 9 6 1 2 +7 19
3 Levante 10 5 4 1 +5 19
4 Leganes 9 6 0 3 +7 18
5 Tenerife 9 6 0 3 +4 18
6 Sp Gijon 9 5 2 2 +4 17
7 Valladolid 9 5 1 3 +3 16
8 Eibar 9 5 0 4 +2 15
9 Ferrol 9 4 3 2 +0 15
10 Albacete 10 4 2 4 -1 14
11 Burgos 9 4 1 4 +1 13
12 Santander 9 3 3 3 +1 12
13 Eldense 10 3 2 5 -6 11
14 Villarreal B 9 2 4 3 +0 10
15 Mirandes 9 3 1 5 -4 10
16 Andorra 9 3 1 5 -5 10
17 Amorebieta 9 2 3 4 +0 9
18 Oviedo 9 2 3 4 -1 9
19 Elche 9 2 3 4 -6 9
20 Huesca 10 1 4 5 -5 7
21 Alcorcon 9 1 3 5 -9 6
22 Cartagena 9 1 1 7 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Sp Gijon
Ekain Zenitagoia 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
6′
1–0 Andrés Martín
28′
32′
Gaspar Campos 1–1
H. Hassan
37′
🟨 Roque Mesa
Iñigo Vicente 🟨
39′
Clément Grenier 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–1
Dani Fernández 🔁
↦ Rubén Alves
46′
2–1 Peque Fernández
Iñigo Vicente
48′
58′
🔁 Christian Rivera
↦ Roque Mesa
58′
🔁 U. Đurđević
↦ Víctor Campuzano
59′
🔁 Guille Rosas
↦ A. Pașcanu
63′
Gaspar Campos 2–2
H. Hassan
Marco Sangalli 🔁
↦ Peque Fernández
70′
Iván Morante 🔁
↦ C. Grenier
70′
72′
🔁 Fran Villalba
↦ Gaspar Campos
Marco Sangalli 🟨
75′
3–2 Ekain Zenitagoia
Dani Fernández
83′
84′
🔁 Dani Queipo
↦ H. Hassan
Pol Moreno 🔁
↦ Ekain Zenitagoia
85′
86′
🟨 Francisco Villalba
90′
🟨 Cristian Rivera
Andrés Martín 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Ignacio Méndez
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
5 Germán Sánchez D
15 Rubén Alves D
3 Saúl García D
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza M
19 C. Grenier M
11 Andrés Martín M
17 Peque Fernández M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (11)
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
23 Dani Fernández
7 Marco Sangalli
16 Iván Morante
4 Pol Moreno
1 Miquel Parera
40 Mario García
22 Juan Gutiérrez
20 L. Junior
27 Yeray Cabanzón
8 Jorge Pombo

Coach: José Alberto López

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
1 Rubén Yáñez G
25 A. Pașcanu D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
22 Rober Pier D
3 Cote D
21 H. Hassan M
10 Nacho Méndez M
15 Roque Mesa M
7 Gaspar Campos M
19 J. Otero F
11 Víctor Campuzano F
Bench (12)
17 Christian Rivera
23 U. Đurđević
2 Guille Rosas
8 Fran Villalba
9 Dani Queipo
6 Nacho Martín
14 I. Jeraldino
5 Pablo García
4 Pablo Insua
13 Christian Joel
27 Enol Coto
12 J. Varane

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,22
U
3,08
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,44
U2,5
1,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iosu Galech · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.