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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Ruch Chorzow
U T T T U
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ruch Chorzow Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
10%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ruch Chorzow 17. · Pogon Szczecin 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 10 7 1 2 +8 +1.1 22
2 Legia 9 6 2 1 +9 +1.0 20
3 Lech Poznan 10 6 2 2 +5 -1.3 20
4 Zaglebie 11 6 2 3 +2 +1.0 20
5 Rakow 9 6 1 2 +9 +5.7 19
6 Jagiellonia 9 6 1 2 +7 +3.6 19
7 Pogon Szczecin 10 5 0 5 +6 +6.0 15
8 Radomiak Radom 11 4 2 5 -1 +1.1 14
9 Widzew Lodz 11 4 2 5 -2 -3.3 14
10 Piast Gliwice 11 2 7 2 +0 +9.4 13
11 Cracovia 9 3 4 2 -2 +0.2 13
12 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 +0 -4.0 12
13 Warta Poznan 11 2 4 5 -2 -0.0 10
14 Korona Kielce 10 2 4 4 -2 -2.6 10
15 Gornik Zabrze 10 2 3 5 -8 -7.1 9
16 Puszcza 11 2 3 6 -10 -6.3 9
17 Ruch Chorzow 10 1 4 5 -6 -3.1 7
18 LKS Lodz 11 2 1 8 -13 -1.3 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ruch Chorzow Pogon Szczecin
3′
🟨 Rafał Kurzawa
28′
F. Ulvestad 0–1
K. Grosicki
Half-time 0–1
Mateusz Bartolewski 🟨
46′
Tomás Podstawski 🟨
51′
57′
K. Grosicki 0–2
63′
M. Sadlok 1–2
own goal
D. Szczepan 🔁
↦ M. Firlej
69′
K. Michalski 🔁
↦ J. Letniowski
69′
71′
🔁 M. Fornalczyk
↦ K. Grosicki
71′
🔁 João Gamboa
↦ R. Kurzawa
71′
🔁 A. Przyborek
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
76′
🔁 L. Zahović
↦ E. Koulouris
77′
🟨 Alexander Gorgon
D. Steczyk 🔁
↦ M. Feliks
80′
87′
🟨 Mariusz Fornalczyk
87′
🔁 P. Stolarski
↦ L. Wahlqvist
W. Długosz 🔁
↦ T. Wójtowicz
91′
T. Foszmańczyk 🔁
↦ T. Swędrowski
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ruch Chorzow

4-1-4-1
82 J. Bielecki G
5 T. Wójtowicz D
20 S. Szymański D
21 M. Sadlok D
77 M. Bartolewski D
28 Tomás Podstawski M
70 M. Kozak M
6 T. Swędrowski M
7 J. Letniowski M
19 M. Feliks M
9 M. Firlej F
Bench (9)
95 D. Szczepan
26 K. Michalski
18 D. Steczyk
27 W. Długosz
10 T. Foszmańczyk
16 J. Sedlák
4 P. Szur
2 K. Kasolik
32 M. Potoczny

Coach: J. Skrobacz

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
77 V. Cojocaru G
28 L. Wahlqvist D
23 B. Zech D
33 M. Malec D
32 L. Koútris D
8 F. Ulvestad M
7 R. Kurzawa M
22 V. Bichakhchyan M
20 A. Gorgon M
11 K. Grosicki M
9 E. Koulouris F
Bench (9)
17 M. Fornalczyk
21 João Gamboa
73 A. Przyborek
10 L. Zahović
41 P. Stolarski
61 K. Smoliński
4 Léo Borges
68 D. Lončar
81 B. Klebaniuk

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Frankowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.