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Bundesliga
Referee: J Semler
4–0
Full-time
BW Linz
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna BW Linz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 17%
11%
22%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
2,1
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%
22 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 10. · BW Linz 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 9 7 1 1 +17 22
2 Sturm Graz 9 6 3 0 +11 21
3 LASK 9 4 3 2 +5 15
4 A. Klagenfurt 9 3 5 1 +4 14
5 Wolfsberger AC 9 3 4 2 -1 13
6 Hartberg 9 3 4 2 -2 13
7 Altach 9 3 3 3 -2 12
8 SK Rapid 9 2 5 2 +6 11
9 BW Linz 9 2 3 4 -8 9
10 Austria Vienna 9 1 3 5 -7 6
11 Tirol 9 1 2 6 -9 5
12 A. Lustenau 9 0 2 7 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Austria Vienna BW Linz
3′
🟨 Marco Krainz
5′
🟨 Danilo Mitrović
1–0 A. Gruber
D. Fitz
38′
2–0 A. Gruber
M. Polster
40′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 F. Asllani
55′
57′
🔁 A. Briedl
↦ S. Pirkl
57′
🔁 K. Dobras
↦ C. Noß
63′
🟨 Tobias Koch
65′
🔁 S. Feiertag
↦ Ronivaldo
Marvin Martins 🟨
69′
R. Vučić 🔁
↦ F. Asllani
71′
4–0 A. Gruber
D. Fitz
77′
78′
🔁 S. Haudum
↦ A. Pašić
M. Husković 🔁
↦ A. Gruber
79′
H. Guenouche 🔁
↦ M. Polster
84′
M. Baltaxa 🔁
↦ D. Fitz
84′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

3-4-3
1 C. Früchtl G
46 J. Handl D
66 M. Martins D
3 Lucas Galvão D
26 R. Ranftl M
19 M. Potzmann M
77 A. Jukić M
11 M. Polster M
17 A. Gruber F
10 F. Asllani F
36 D. Fitz F
Bench (7)
27 R. Vučić
9 M. Husković
21 H. Guenouche
5 M. Baltaxa
40 M. Meisl
33 A. Schmidt
99 M. Kos

Coach: M. Wimmer

BW Linz

3-4-2-1
1 N. Schmid G
17 A. Pašić D
15 M. Maranda D
5 D. Mitrović D
14 J. Gölles M
6 T. Koch M
4 M. Krainz M
8 S. Pirkl M
10 P. Mensah F
7 C. Noß F
9 Ronivaldo F
Bench (7)
19 A. Briedl
30 K. Dobras
18 S. Feiertag
27 S. Haudum
28 M. Schantl
13 M. Brandner
31 K. Radulovic

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Semler · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.