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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Aberdeen
S S T U T
3–0
Full-time
St Mirren
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 40%
47%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
53%
Both score Ø 47%
44%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aberdeen 3. · St Mirren 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 31 3 2 +77 96
2 Rangers 36 28 4 4 +53 88
3 Aberdeen 36 17 3 16 -2 54
4 Hearts 36 15 7 14 +6 52
5 Hibernian 36 14 6 16 -4 48
6 Motherwell 36 13 7 16 +1 46
7 St Mirren 36 12 10 14 -12 46
8 Livingston 36 13 6 17 -22 45
9 ST Johnstone 37 11 7 19 -20 40
10 Ross County 37 9 7 21 -21 34
11 Kilmarnock 36 9 7 20 -30 34
12 Dundee United 36 8 7 21 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen St Mirren
1–0 L. Clarkson
14′
30′
🟥 Thierry Small
30′
ℹ️ Thierry Small
VAR: Card upgrade
M. Watkins 🔁
↦ B. Miovski
34′
2–0 G. Shinnie
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 K. Offord
↦ K. Baccus
46′
🔁 S. Tanser
↦ R. Taylor
3–0 G. Shinnie
Y. Ramadani
49′
59′
🟨 Alexander Gogić
C. Barron 🔁
↦ Y. Ramadani
71′
A. Bavidge 🔁
↦ Duk
75′
75′
🔁 D. Gallagher
↦ R. Strain
75′
🔁 L. Jamieson
↦ C. Main
80′
🔁 F. Taylor
↦ G. Kiltie
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-5-2
24 K. Roos G
18 M. Pollock D
27 A. MacDonald D
4 L. Scales D
2 R. McCrorie M
16 Y. Ramadani M
20 L. Clarkson M
6 G. Shinnie M
17 J. Hayes M
11 Duk F
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
15 M. Watkins
8 C. Barron
36 A. Bavidge
23 R. Duncan
22 H. Coulson
25 J. Richardson
3 J. MacKenzie
1 J. Lewis
7 S. Morris

Coach: B. Robson

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
22 M. Fraser D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
5 R. Taylor D
16 T. Small D
13 A. Gogić M
17 K. Baccus M
6 M. O'Hara M
10 C. Main F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
25 K. Offord
3 S. Tanser
31 D. Gallagher
24 L. Jamieson
30 F. Taylor
15 C. Boyd-Munce
32 L. Kenny
27 P. Urminský
18 C. Dunne

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
U
3,48
B
3,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.