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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
St Mirren
U T T S S
2–2
Full-time
Aberdeen
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 4. · Aberdeen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Motherwell 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Rangers 3 2 0 1 +5 6
4 St Mirren 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Hearts 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Kilmarnock 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Livingston 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Ross County 3 1 0 2 -2 3
9 Dundee 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Aberdeen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
11 ST Johnstone 3 0 1 2 -4 1
12 Hibernian 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Aberdeen
Ryan Strain 🟨
34′
42′
J. Hayes 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Greg Kiltie ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
52′
52′
🔁 J. McGarry
↦ J. Hayes
56′
🔁 R. Jensen
↦ J. MacKenzie
57′
🔁 J. McGrath
↦ D. Polvara
1–1 G. Kiltie
59′
A. Greive 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
70′
M. Mandron 🔁
↦ T. Olusanya
70′
71′
🟨 Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes
2–1 A. Greive
M. Mandron
76′
77′
🔁 S. Morris
↦ Duk
J. Bolton 🔁
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
81′
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ C. McMenamin
87′
88′
🟨 Slobodan Rubežić
98′
ℹ️ Leighton Clarkson
VAR: Penalty confirmed
100′
0 B. Miovski 2–2
Zachary Hemming 🟨
102′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
23 R. Strain M
17 K. Baccus M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
20 T. Olusanya F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
21 A. Greive
9 M. Mandron
2 J. Bolton
8 R. Flynn
18 C. Dunne
27 P. Urminský
19 S. Nahmani
24 L. Jamieson
16 T. Small

Coach: S. Robinson

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
24 K. Roos G
33 S. Rubežić D
27 A. MacDonald D
3 J. MacKenzie D
2 N. Devlin M
10 L. Clarkson M
4 G. Shinnie M
17 J. Hayes M
21 D. Polvara F
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
15 J. McGarry
5 R. Jensen
7 J. McGrath
20 S. Morris
31 R. Doohan
19 E. Sokler
30 O. Dadia
8 C. Barron
23 R. Duncan

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,28
B
3,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.