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Premiership
Referee: G Grainger
ST Johnstone
U S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Livingston
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 33%
30%
35%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
49%
49%
Both score Ø 49%
51%
46%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 9. · Livingston 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 38 32 3 3 +80 99
2 Rangers 38 29 5 4 +56 92
3 Aberdeen 38 18 3 17 -4 57
4 Hearts 38 15 9 14 +6 54
5 Hibernian 38 15 7 16 -2 52
6 Motherwell 37 13 8 16 +1 47
7 St Mirren 38 12 10 16 -18 46
8 Livingston 37 13 7 17 -22 46
9 ST Johnstone 37 11 7 19 -20 40
10 Kilmarnock 37 10 7 20 -27 37
11 Ross County 37 9 7 21 -21 34
12 Dundee United 37 8 7 22 -29 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Livingston
1–0 D. Wright
R. McGowan
17′
40′
🟨 James Penrice
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ J. Holt
58′
🔁 D. Bahamboula
↦ S. Bradley
C. Kane 🔁
↦ S. May
64′
66′
🟨 Luiyi de Lucas
2–0 C. Kane
68′
70′
🔁 J. Brandon
↦ N. Devlin
72′
🔁 S. Oméonga
↦ T. Parkes
D. Phillips 🔁
↦ C. MacPherson
75′
D. Wotherspoon 🔁
↦ D. Wright
75′
89′
🟨 Sean Kelly
M. Davidson 🔁
↦ Cammy Ballantyne
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-1-4-1
20 R. Sinclair G
2 J. Brown D
5 A. Mitchell D
6 L. Gordon D
19 A. Montgomery D
13 R. McGowan M
14 D. Wright M
18 C. MacPherson M
25 Cammy Ballantyne M
23 G. Carey M
7 S. May F
Bench (8)
9 C. Kane
34 D. Phillips
10 D. Wotherspoon
8 M. Davidson
30 J. Wills
26 C. McLennan
16 Z. Rudden
3 T. Gallacher

Coach: S. MacLean

Livingston

4-2-3-1
32 J. Hamilton G
2 N. Devlin D
23 L. de Lucas D
4 T. Parkes D
29 J. Penrice D
18 J. Holt M
24 S. Kelly M
16 S. Bradley M
8 S. Pittman M
17 S. Kelly M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (4)
22 A. Shinnie
7 D. Bahamboula
12 J. Brandon
33 S. Oméonga

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,22
U
3,13
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Grainger · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.