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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
St Mirren
T S U T U
3–0
Full-time
Livingston
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 36%
34%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 7. · Livingston 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 29 27 1 1 +72 82
2 Rangers 29 23 4 2 +45 73
3 Hearts 29 13 6 10 +6 45
4 Aberdeen 29 13 2 14 -6 41
5 Hibernian 29 12 4 13 -1 40
6 Livingston 29 11 6 12 -13 39
7 St Mirren 29 10 8 11 -11 38
8 ST Johnstone 29 9 5 15 -15 32
9 Motherwell 29 8 6 15 -8 30
10 Kilmarnock 29 6 7 16 -27 25
11 Ross County 29 6 6 17 -18 24
12 Dundee United 29 5 7 17 -24 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Dec -22 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 1. Oct -22 St Mirren – Livingston 2–1 11. May -22 St Mirren – Livingston 0–0 19. Feb -22 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 20. Nov -21 St Mirren – Livingston 1–1

Match report

St Mirren Livingston
Mark O'Hara 🟨
1′
1–0 M. O'Hara ⚽
5′
2–0 T. Watt ⚽
C. Main
18′
3–0 M. O'Hara ⚽
42′
44′
🟨 Jason Holt
Half-time 3–0
G. Kiltie 🔁
↦ M. OHara
46′
46′
🔁 S. Oméonga
↦ J. Holt
46′
🔁 C. Montaño
↦ J. Penrice
62′
🔁 S. Kelly
↦ S. Pittman
66′
🟨 Cristian Montano
67′
🟨 Nicky Devlin
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ K. Baccus
68′
A. Greive 🔁
↦ T. Watt
68′
71′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ A. Shinnie
80′
🔁 J. Brandon
↦ M. Boyes
S. Tanser 🔁
↦ T. Small
84′
K. Offord 🔁
↦ C. Main
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 T. Carson G
22 M. Fraser D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
18 C. Dunne D
23 R. Strain M
17 K. Baccus M
13 A. Gogić M
6 M. O'Hara M
16 T. Small M
9 T. Watt F
10 C. Main F
Bench (9)
11 G. Kiltie
8 R. Flynn
21 A. Greive
3 S. Tanser
25 K. Offord
27 P. Urminský
24 L. Jamieson
5 R. Taylor
31 D. Gallagher

Coach: S. Robinson

Livingston

5-3-2
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
23 L. de Lucas D
5 J. Fitzwater D
15 M. Boyes D
29 J. Penrice D
18 J. Holt M
22 A. Shinnie M
8 S. Pittman M
19 J. Nouble F
28 K. Guthrie F
Bench (8)
33 S. Oméonga
11 C. Montaño
17 S. Kelly
9 B. Anderson
12 J. Brandon
7 D. Bahamboula
16 S. Bradley
32 J. Hamilton

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
🔒
U
3,26
🔒
B
3,65
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,31
🔒
U2,5
1,59
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.