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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Kilmarnock
T T S U U
1–0
Full-time
Ross County
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
18%
18%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
45%
36%
Both score Ø 41%
45%
36%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · Ross County 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 11 10 0 1 +30 30
2 Rangers 10 8 1 1 +17 25
3 Hibernian 12 5 2 5 -2 17
4 Aberdeen 10 5 1 4 +5 16
5 St Mirren 10 5 1 4 -3 16
6 Livingston 10 5 0 5 -4 15
7 Hearts 11 4 2 5 -2 14
8 Motherwell 11 4 1 6 +0 13
9 ST Johnstone 12 4 1 7 -4 13
10 Kilmarnock 11 2 3 6 -11 9
11 Dundee United 11 2 3 6 -13 9
12 Ross County 11 2 3 6 -13 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -22 Ross County – Kilmarnock 1–0 10. Apr -21 Kilmarnock – Ross County 2–2 6. Mar -21 Ross County – Kilmarnock 3–2 21. Nov -20 Kilmarnock – Ross County 3–1 12. Aug -20 Ross County – Kilmarnock 2–2

Match report

Kilmarnock Ross County
8′
🔁 Y. Dhanda
↦ R. Callachan
Innes Cameron 🟨
13′
1–0 D. Armstrong ⚽
I. Cameron
20′
40′
🟨 Jordy Hiwula
Half-time 1–0
Jordan Jones 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Yan Dhanda
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ K. McInroy
65′
65′
🔁 K. Olaigbe
↦ J. Hiwula-Mayifuila
L. Polworth 🔁
↦ R. Alebiosu
74′
77′
🔁 W. Akio
↦ G. Harmon
C. Stokes 🔁
↦ B. Chrisene
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Hemming G
2 L. Mayo D
5 A. Taylor D
19 J. Wright D
25 R. Alebiosu M
4 A. Power M
21 K. McInroy M
33 B. Chrisene M
11 D. Armstrong F
10 Jordan Jones F
27 I. Cameron F
Bench (9)
7 R. McKenzie
31 L. Polworth
6 C. Stokes
32 S. Warnock
17 B. Lyons
29 B. Wales
20 S. Walker
15 F. Murray
9 O. Shaw

Coach: D. McInnes

Ross County

4-2-3-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
12 C. Johnson D
5 J. Baldwin D
6 A. Iacovitti D
16 G. Harmon D
22 J. Tillson M
4 D. Cancola M
19 J. Hiwula-Mayifuila M
8 R. Callachan M
7 O. Edwards M
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
10 Y. Dhanda
17 K. Olaigbe
18 W. Akio
21 R. Munro
11 J. Sims
15 K. Watson
9 D. Samuel
31 J. Eastwood
14 V. Loturi

Coach: M. Mackay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
🔒
U
3,32
🔒
B
3,79
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,24
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,64
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.