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Premiership
Referee: G Duncan
ST Johnstone
T T T S U
1–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 10. · Kilmarnock 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 13 11 2 0 +26 35
2 Celtic 11 8 2 1 +18 26
3 Hibernian 12 7 3 2 +7 24
4 Aberdeen 11 7 2 2 +6 23
5 Dundee United 13 4 4 5 -7 16
6 Kilmarnock 12 4 2 6 +1 14
7 Motherwell 11 4 2 5 +0 14
8 Ross County 14 3 4 7 -14 13
9 Livingston 14 3 3 8 -9 12
10 ST Johnstone 12 3 2 7 -7 11
11 St Mirren 10 2 1 7 -9 7
12 Hamilton 11 2 1 8 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Kilmarnock
Half-time 0–0
Liam Gordon 🟨
59′
Murray Davidson 🟨
65′
M. O'Halloran 🔁
↦ D. Wotherspoon
67′
69′
🟨 Alan Power
1–0 D. McNamara
M. O'Halloran
70′
75′
🔁 E. Brophy
↦ G. Kiltie
75′
🔁 M. Pinnock
↦ A. Tshibola
C. Kane 🔁
↦ S. May
77′
90′
🔁 D. Whitehall
↦ C. Waters
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Clark G
3 S. Tanser M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
5 J. Kerr D
15 D. McNamara M
7 C. Conway F
8 M. Davidson M
10 D. Wotherspoon F
18 A. McCann M
14 S. May F
Bench (9)
11 M. O'Halloran
9 C. Kane
26 L. Craig
24 C. Booth
22 C. Hendry
12 E. Parish
13 C. Bryson
17 G. Melamed
19 S. Rooney

Coach: C. Davidson

Kilmarnock

4-3-3
23 D. Rogers G
5 K. Broadfoot D
17 S. Findlay D
18 C. Waters D
22 R. Millen D
29 C. Burke F
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
27 A. Tshibola M
10 G. Kiltie F
11 N. Kabamba F
Bench (9)
9 E. Brophy
19 M. Pinnock
12 D. Whitehall
7 R. McKenzie
1 J. Eastwood
3 B. Haunstrup
2 A. McGowan
21 Y. Mulumbu
14 Z. Rossi

Coach: A. Dyer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,11
B
3,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,76
U2,5 ✓
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Duncan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.