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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hibernian
S S S T T
1–2
Full-time
ST Johnstone
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
45%
27%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
36%
64%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 10
6 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 3. · ST Johnstone 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 10 9 0 1 +29 27
2 Rangers 10 8 1 1 +17 25
3 Hibernian 11 5 2 4 -1 17
4 Aberdeen 10 5 1 4 +5 16
5 St Mirren 10 5 1 4 -3 16
6 Livingston 10 5 0 5 -4 15
7 Hearts 10 4 2 4 -1 14
8 Motherwell 11 4 1 6 +0 13
9 ST Johnstone 11 3 1 7 -5 10
10 Kilmarnock 11 2 3 6 -11 9
11 Dundee United 11 2 3 6 -13 9
12 Ross County 11 2 3 6 -13 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian ST Johnstone
Martin Boyle 🟨
8′
Mykola Kukharevych 🟨
31′
1–0 M. Kukharevych
C. Cadden
35′
45′
🟨 James Brown
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. May
↦ A. Montgomery
Kyle Magennis 🟨
53′
É. Youan 🔁
↦ M. Kukharevych
63′
63′
🔁 D. Wotherspoon
↦ D. Wright
63′
🔁 J. Murphy
↦ A. Mitchell
Josh Campbell 🟨
68′
Kyle Magennis 🟨
70′
Kyle Magennis 🟥
70′
73′
N. Clark 1–1
M. Hallberg
82′
S. May 1–2
C. McLennan
Jair Tavares 🔁
↦ C. Cadden
85′
H. McKirdy 🔁
↦ M. Čabraja
85′
89′
🔁 T. Gallacher
↦ J. Brown
89′
🔁 A. Crawford
↦ C. McLennan
Harry McKirdy 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-5-2
1 D. Marshall G
5 R. Porteous D
33 R. Bushiri D
4 P. Hanlon D
12 C. Cadden M
32 J. Campbell M
11 J. Newell M
7 K. Magennis M
3 M. Čabraja M
77 M. Boyle F
99 M. Kukharevych F
Bench (9)
23 É. Youan
10 Jair Tavares
22 H. McKirdy
18 E. Henderson
19 D. Mitchell
16 L. Stevenson
6 N. Kenneh
25 W. Fish
13 R. Schofield

Coach: L. Johnson

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 R. Matthews G
5 A. Mitchell D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
2 J. Brown M
22 M. Hallberg M
13 R. McGowan M
19 A. Montgomery M
14 D. Wright F
26 C. McLennan F
37 N. Clark F
Bench (9)
7 S. May
10 D. Wotherspoon
29 J. Murphy
3 T. Gallacher
21 A. Crawford
12 E. Parish
34 D. Phillips
27 M. Kucheryavyi
17 T. Bair

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,63
U
3,82
B ✓
5,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.