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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Motherwell
T S S T S
1–4
Full-time
Hamilton
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 23%
26%
19%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
44%
46%
Both score Ø 42%
41%
42%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 9. · Hamilton 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 28 24 4 0 +60 76
2 Celtic 27 17 7 3 +40 58
3 Hibernian 28 14 7 7 +13 49
4 Aberdeen 27 12 8 7 +3 44
5 Livingston 27 11 6 10 +4 39
6 St Mirren 26 9 5 12 -6 32
7 Dundee United 28 7 10 11 -15 31
8 ST Johnstone 28 7 9 12 -10 30
9 Motherwell 27 7 7 13 -14 28
10 Kilmarnock 28 7 3 18 -14 24
11 Ross County 28 6 5 17 -32 23
12 Hamilton 26 5 5 16 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Jan -21 Hamilton – Motherwell 3–0 22. Aug -20 Motherwell – Hamilton 0–1 22. Feb -20 Hamilton – Motherwell 0–0 29. Dec -19 Motherwell – Hamilton 1–2 24. Aug -19 Hamilton – Motherwell 1–3

Match report

Motherwell Hamilton
7′
⚽ B. Anderson 0–1
R. Callachan
Stephen O'Donnell 🟥
18′
19′
⚽ R. Callachan 0–2
31′
⚽ M. Ogkmpoe 0–3
T. Magloire 🔁
↦ C. Long
38′
44′
🔁 S. Martin
↦ C. Trafford
Half-time 0–3
Tony Watt 🟨
52′
61′
🟨 Marios Ogboe
62′
🔁 D. Moyo
↦ M. Ogkmpoe
64′
⚽ D. Moyo 0–4
S. McMann
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ B. Mugabi
68′
68′
🔁 B. Stirling
↦ B. Easton
68′
🔁 A. Winter
↦ B. Anderson
1–4 M. O'Hara ⚽
68′
72′
🟨 Scott Martin
Tyler Magloire 🟨
82′
Barry Maguire 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Aaron Martin
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
13 L. Kelly G
3 J. Carroll D
33 S. O'Donnell D
4 R. Lamie D
16 B. Mugabi D
7 M. O'Hara M
6 A. Campbell M
15 B. Maguire M
32 T. Watt F
44 D. Cole F
9 C. Long F
Bench (9)
40 T. Magloire
27 M. Johnston
25 R. MacIver
39 J. Roberts
8 R. Crawford
23 P. Morrison
11 J. Hastie
19 L. Polworth
26 D. Cornelius

Coach: G. Alexander

Hamilton

3-4-1-2
23 R. Fulton G
5 B. Easton D
16 A. Martin D
27 L. Hodson M
3 S. McMann M
2 H. Odoffin M
6 J. Hamilton D
34 R. Callachan F
14 C. Trafford M
7 B. Anderson F
9 M. Ogkmpoe F
Bench (9)
8 S. Martin
20 D. Moyo
4 B. Stirling
19 A. Winter
22 K. Gourlay
15 R. Hughes
18 R. Mimnaugh
32 C. Smith
21 K. Munro

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
🔒
U
3,70
🔒
B ✓
4,99
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,93
🔒
U2,5
1,86
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.