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Premiership
Referee: G Duncan
Hamilton
T U S T S
0–2
Full-time
Livingston
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
24%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
2,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
2 Shots 16
0 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 11. · Livingston 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 18 16 2 0 +45 50
2 Celtic 15 10 4 1 +23 34
3 Aberdeen 17 10 4 3 +8 34
4 Hibernian 18 9 6 3 +12 33
5 Dundee United 18 5 6 7 -9 21
6 St Mirren 15 5 3 7 -6 18
7 Livingston 17 5 3 9 -7 18
8 Kilmarnock 17 5 2 10 -3 17
9 ST Johnstone 18 4 5 9 -8 17
10 Motherwell 16 4 3 9 -9 15
11 Hamilton 17 4 2 11 -22 14
12 Ross County 18 3 4 11 -24 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Sep -20 Livingston – Hamilton 1–2 25. Jan -20 Hamilton – Livingston 2–4 30. Nov -19 Livingston – Hamilton 0–0 28. Sep -19 Hamilton – Livingston 2–1

Match report

Hamilton Livingston
Half-time 0–1
51′
⚽ J. Guthrie 0–1
J. Holt
J. Johnson 🔁
↦ R. Hughes
63′
K. Gourlay 🔁
↦ R. Fulton
63′
A. Winter 🔁
↦ D. Moyo
67′
78′
🔁 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
↦ A. Forrest
Ben Stirling 🟨
80′
J. Hamilton 🔁
↦ B. Easton
86′
Hakeem Odofin 🟨
90′
91′
⚽ J. Mullin 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hamilton

3-4-2-1
23 R. Fulton G
5 B. Easton D
16 A. Martin D
27 L. Hodson M
3 S. McMann M
2 H. Odoffin M
4 B. Stirling D
21 K. Munro F
15 R. Hughes M
18 R. Mimnaugh F
20 D. Moyo F
Bench (8)
37 J. Johnson
22 K. Gourlay
19 A. Winter
6 J. Hamilton
17 G. Stanger
41 R. Scully
36 T. Owolabi
14 C. Trafford

Coach: B. Rice

Livingston

4-2-3-1
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
27 J. Guthrie D
5 J. Fitzwater D
12 J. Serrano D
17 S. Robinson F
14 J. Mullin M
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald M
11 A. Forrest M
8 S. Pittman M
Bench (9)
9 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
39 C. Pignatiello
33 S. Lawson
21 J. McMillan
3 C. Brown
15 M. Poplatnik
1 R. McCrorie
25 E. Ambrose
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,19
🔒
U
3,84
🔒
B ✓
1,64
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,02
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,79
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Duncan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.