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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
St Mirren
S T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Hamilton
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
37%
48%
Both score Ø 43%
41%
44%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 7. · Hamilton 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 29 25 4 0 +61 79
2 Celtic 28 18 7 3 +41 61
3 Hibernian 28 14 7 7 +13 49
4 Aberdeen 28 12 9 7 +3 45
5 Livingston 28 11 6 11 +1 39
6 Dundee United 29 8 10 11 -12 34
7 St Mirren 27 9 6 12 -6 33
8 ST Johnstone 29 7 9 13 -11 30
9 Motherwell 28 7 7 14 -17 28
10 Kilmarnock 29 7 3 19 -15 24
11 Hamilton 27 6 5 16 -26 23
12 Ross County 28 6 5 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Aug -20 Hamilton – St Mirren 0–1 5. Feb -20 St Mirren – Hamilton 1–1 7. Dec -19 Hamilton – St Mirren 0–1 21. Sep -19 St Mirren – Hamilton 0–0

Match report

St Mirren Hamilton
26′
🔁 S. Martin
↦ A. Martin
27′
🟨 Scott Martin
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Í. Durmuş ⚽
K. McAllister
53′
Joe Shaughnessy 🟨
57′
Marcus Fraser 🟨
61′
68′
⚽ B. Anderson 1–1
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ L. Erwin
77′
81′
🔁 R. Hughes
↦ C. Trafford
D. Connolly 🔁
↦ R. Tait
84′
90′
🔁 D. Moyo
↦ B. Anderson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-1-2
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait M
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
11 Í. Durmuş M
10 K. McAllister F
14 C. MacPherson M
25 E. Erhahon M
9 J. Obika F
23 L. Erwin F
Bench (7)
8 R. Flynn
21 D. Connolly
33 L. Jamieson
15 D. Finlayson
30 J. Henderson
26 D. Lyness
27 P. Urminský

Coach: J. Goodwin

Hamilton

3-4-1-2
23 R. Fulton G
5 B. Easton D
16 A. Martin D
27 L. Hodson M
3 S. McMann M
2 H. Odoffin M
6 J. Hamilton D
34 R. Callachan F
14 C. Trafford M
7 B. Anderson F
9 M. Ogkmpoe F
Bench (9)
8 S. Martin
15 R. Hughes
20 D. Moyo
22 K. Gourlay
18 R. Mimnaugh
4 B. Stirling
32 C. Smith
21 K. Munro
19 A. Winter

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,55
🔒
U ✓
3,91
🔒
B
6,11
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,92
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,86
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.