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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Dundee United
U T T T S
3–0
Full-time
Livingston
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 28/27 matches
Win Ø 33%
25%
41%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
43%
48%
Both score Ø 47%
46%
48%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 2
9 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dundee United 7. · Livingston 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 28 24 4 0 +60 76
2 Celtic 27 17 7 3 +40 58
3 Hibernian 28 14 7 7 +13 49
4 Aberdeen 27 12 8 7 +3 44
5 Livingston 27 11 6 10 +4 39
6 St Mirren 26 9 5 12 -6 32
7 Dundee United 28 7 10 11 -15 31
8 ST Johnstone 28 7 9 12 -10 30
9 Motherwell 27 7 7 13 -14 28
10 Kilmarnock 28 7 3 18 -14 24
11 Ross County 28 6 5 17 -32 23
12 Hamilton 26 5 5 16 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Livingston
1–0 A. Spörle
J. Robson
1′
12′
🔁 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
↦ S. Robinson
Calum Butcher 🟨
31′
Peter Pawlett 🟥
31′
34′
🟨 Craig Sibbald
I. Harkes 🔁
↦ A. Spörle
34′
2–0 L. Shankland
I. Harkes
35′
Half-time 2–0
61′
🟥 Jack Fitzwater
64′
🔁 J. Kabia
↦ C. Sibbald
64′
🔁 M. Poplatnik
↦ S. Pittman
Jeando Fuchs 🟨
67′
71′
🔁 S. Lawson
↦ M. Bartley
M. McNulty 🔁
↦ L. Appéré
78′
3–0 L. Shankland
83′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-2-3-1
1 B. Siegrist G
6 M. Reynolds D
12 R. Edwards D
2 L. Smith D
3 A. Spörle M
17 J. Robson D
8 P. Pawlett M
18 C. Butcher M
66 J. Fuchs M
24 L. Shankland F
27 L. Appéré M
Bench (9)
23 I. Harkes
9 M. McNulty
5 M. Connolly
10 N. Clark
19 D. Mehmet
30 L. Neilson
14 F. Hoti
26 C. Mochrie
20 L. Bolton

Coach: M. Mellon

Livingston

4-3-3
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
27 J. Guthrie D
5 J. Fitzwater D
12 J. Serrano D
17 S. Robinson F
6 M. Bartley M
14 J. Mullin F
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald F
8 S. Pittman M
Bench (9)
9 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
37 J. Kabia
15 M. Poplatnik
33 S. Lawson
25 E. Ambrose
21 J. McMillan
1 R. McCrorie
11 A. Forrest
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,02
U
3,38
B
1,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.