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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Hibernian
S T S S S
2–0
Full-time
Hamilton
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
21%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
43%
46%
Both score Ø 39%
32%
46%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hibernian 3. · Hamilton 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 29 25 4 0 +61 79
2 Celtic 29 19 7 3 +42 64
3 Hibernian 28 14 7 7 +13 49
4 Aberdeen 29 12 9 8 +2 45
5 Livingston 28 11 6 11 +1 39
6 St Mirren 28 9 7 12 -6 34
7 Dundee United 29 8 10 11 -12 34
8 ST Johnstone 29 7 9 13 -11 30
9 Motherwell 28 7 7 14 -17 28
10 Kilmarnock 29 7 3 19 -15 24
11 Hamilton 28 6 6 16 -26 24
12 Ross County 28 6 5 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Dec -20 Hamilton – Hibernian 0–4 2. Oct -20 Hibernian – Hamilton 3–2 22. Jan -20 Hibernian – Hamilton 2–1 19. Oct -19 Hamilton – Hibernian 1–1

Match report

Hibernian Hamilton
12′
🟥 Jamie Hamilton
1–0 M. Boyle ⚽
J. Doig
13′
23′
🔁 D. Moyo
↦ M. Ogkmpoe
Half-time 1–0
K. Nisbet 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
64′
2–0 J. Doig ⚽
70′
S. Allan 🔁
↦ C. Doidge
75′
75′
🔁 R. Mimnaugh
↦ B. Anderson
75′
🔁 R. Hughes
↦ C. Trafford
76′
🟨 Brian Easton
79′
🔁 C. Smith
↦ S. Martin
A. Gogić 🔁
↦ J. Newell
84′
L. Stevenson 🔁
↦ J. Doig
84′
Darren McGregor 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 O. Marciano G
4 P. Hanlon D
24 D. McGregor D
6 P. McGinn D
27 C. Cadden M
25 J. Doig M
10 M. Boyle F
11 J. Newell M
36 J. Irvine M
18 J. Murphy F
9 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
15 K. Nisbet
23 S. Allan
13 A. Gogić
16 L. Stevenson
8 D. Wright
2 D. Gray
20 M. Hallberg
33 M. Macey
5 R. Porteous

Coach: J. Ross

Hamilton

3-5-2
23 R. Fulton G
5 B. Easton D
27 L. Hodson M
3 S. McMann M
2 H. Odoffin D
6 J. Hamilton D
34 R. Callachan M
14 C. Trafford M
8 S. Martin M
7 B. Anderson F
9 M. Ogkmpoe F
Bench (9)
20 D. Moyo
18 R. Mimnaugh
15 R. Hughes
32 C. Smith
22 K. Gourlay
21 K. Munro
4 B. Stirling
12 S. Want
19 A. Winter

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
🔒
U
4,41
🔒
B
6,88
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,78
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,03
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.