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Super League
Referee: G Tzovaras
OFI Crete
S T S T T
0–2
Full-time
AEK
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

OFI Crete AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
This season — Super League · 30/29 matches
Win Ø 46%
37%
55%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
60%
41%
Both score Ø 53%
60%
45%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
4 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 27
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match OFI Crete 5. · AEK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 29 23 6 0 +48 75
2 PAOK 30 18 7 5 +24 61
3 AEK 29 16 8 5 +21 56
4 Panathinaikos 30 12 11 7 +8 47
5 OFI Crete 30 11 5 14 -2 38
6 Aris Thessalonikis 27 9 10 8 +8 37
7 Aris 27 9 10 8 +8 37
8 Atromitos 29 10 7 12 -4 37
9 Asteras Tripolis 29 9 7 13 -4 34
10 Larisa 29 8 10 11 -5 34
11 Lamia 30 6 15 9 -12 33
12 Volos NFC 30 9 6 15 -22 33
13 Xanthi 29 8 6 15 -14 30
14 Panionios 29 5 6 18 -30 21
15 Panetolikos 29 4 8 17 -24 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

OFI Crete AEK
42′
M. Livaja 0–1
Hélder Lopes
N. Marinakis 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 M. Livaja
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 N. Oliveira
52′
🟨 N. Krsticic
60′
🟨 D. Szymanski
60′
🔁 D. Verde
↦ C. Albanis
63′
🟨 P. Mantalos
65′
D. Verde 0–2
M. Livaja
P. Staikos 🔁
↦ V. Sakor
67′
Ricardo Vaz 🔁
↦ D. Manos
68′
Sakor V. 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 S. Araújo
↦ Nélson Oliveira
V. Nikokyrakis 🔁
↦ Lisandro Semedo
79′
A. Nastos 🔁
↦ G. Koutroumbis
80′
86′
🔁 E. Svarnas
↦ M. Livaja
86′
🔁 A. Šabanadžović
↦ P. Mandalos
P. Deligiannidis 🔁
↦ N. Korovesis
87′
95′
🟨 S. Araujo
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
1 Óscar Whalley G
18 K. Giannoulis D
5 G. Koutroumbis D
16 N. Marinakis D
4 V. Sakor M
34 N. Korovesis D
29 M. Mellado M
8 J. Neira M
9 D. Manos F
11 Lisandro Semedo F
20 João Figueiredo F
Bench (9)
26 P. Staikos
21 Ricardo Vaz
91 V. Nikokyrakis
6 A. Nastos
41 P. Deligiannidis
32 D. Sotiriou
80 G. Sournakis
13 N. Vafeas
47 C. Braun

Coach: G. Simos

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
19 D. Chygrynskiy D
21 O. Vranješ D
2 M. Bakakis D
3 Hélder Lopes D
6 N. Krstičić M
20 P. Mandalos M
5 D. Szymański M
18 Nélson Oliveira F
10 M. Livaja F
14 C. Albanis F
Bench (9)
7 D. Verde
11 S. Araújo
24 E. Svarnas
44 A. Šabanadžović
16 P. Tsintotas
27 Paulinho
8 André Simões
53 T. Macheras
4 M. Oikonomou

Coach: M. Carrera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,61
U
3,25
B ✓
1,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Tzovaras · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
33,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.