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Super League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
AEK
U T S S S
2–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,2
This season — Super League · 36/35 matches
Win Ø 44%
56%
31%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
47%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · OFI Crete 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 37 30 7 0 +61 97
2 PAOK 36 21 9 6 +28 72
3 AEK 36 20 10 6 +30 70
4 Panathinaikos 36 14 14 8 +9 56
5 Atromitos 33 11 9 13 -2 42
6 Asteras Tripolis 33 10 10 13 +0 40
7 OFI Crete 35 11 7 17 -7 40
8 Aris Thessalonikis 33 9 11 13 -3 38
9 Aris 33 9 11 13 -3 38
10 Larisa 33 9 11 13 -9 38
11 Lamia 33 6 17 10 -13 35
12 Xanthi 33 9 8 16 -14 35
13 Volos NFC 33 9 7 17 -28 34
14 Panionios 33 7 8 18 -28 29
15 Panetolikos 33 5 11 17 -21 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK OFI Crete
1–0 Nélson Oliveira
Paulinho
19′
24′
🟨 M. Perdikis
D. Verde 🔁
↦ C. Albanis
27′
43′
🟨 P. Staikos
2–0 E. Svarnas
M. Livaja
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 João Figueiredo
↦ D. Manos
46′
🔁 M. Mellado
↦ P. Staikos
46′
🔁 A. Nastos
↦ M. Perdikis
M. Oikonomou 🟨
49′
P. Mantalos 🟨
57′
D. Szymański 🔁
↦ M. Livaja
59′
S. Araújo 🔁
↦ Nélson Oliveira
59′
59′
🔁 Ricardo Vaz
↦ A. Nabi
D. Chygrynskiy 🔁
↦ P. Mandalos
80′
A. Šabanadžović 🔁
↦ N. Krstičić
80′
82′
🔁 G. Sournakis
↦ K. Giannoulis
A. Sabanadzovic 🟨
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-3-3
1 V. Barkas G
27 Paulinho D
3 Hélder Lopes D
4 M. Oikonomou D
24 E. Svarnas D
6 N. Krstičić M
20 P. Mandalos M
8 André Simões M
18 Nélson Oliveira F
10 M. Livaja F
14 C. Albanis F
Bench (9)
7 D. Verde
5 D. Szymański
11 S. Araújo
19 D. Chygrynskiy
44 A. Šabanadžović
15 Ž. Laci
53 T. Macheras
16 P. Tsintotas
2 M. Bakakis

Coach: M. Carrera

OFI Crete

5-4-1
1 Óscar Whalley G
18 K. Giannoulis D
47 C. Braun D
44 M. Bolakis D
13 N. Vafeas D
54 M. Perdikis D
12 João Victor M
4 V. Sakor M
26 P. Staikos M
9 D. Manos F
10 A. Nabi F
Bench (9)
20 João Figueiredo
29 M. Mellado
6 A. Nastos
21 Ricardo Vaz
80 G. Sournakis
91 V. Nikokyrakis
34 N. Korovesis
38 T. Mingos
32 D. Sotiriou

Coach: G. Simos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,19
U
6,26
B
13,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.