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Süper Lig

Referee: Z Küçük

Kayserispor

T S T T U

0–1

Full-time

Samsunspor

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 39%

18%

59%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

59%

53%

Both score Ø 47%

53%

41%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,77 xG 0,64

61% Possession 39%

8 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 16. · Samsunspor 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	17	15	2	0	+29	+17.4	47
2	Fenerbahce	17	12	3	2	+26	+19.6	39
3	Samsunspor	17	10	3	4	+13	+11.4	33
4	Eyüpspor	18	8	6	4	+10	-1.3	30
5	Goztep	17	8	4	5	+9	+5.1	28
6	Besiktas	17	7	6	4	+7	+5.9	27
7	Buyuksehyr	17	7	5	5	+5	+6.9	26
8	Gaziantep	17	6	4	7	-2	-5.2	22
9	Kasimpasa	17	4	9	4	-1	-0.3	21
10	Alanyaspor	17	5	6	6	-2	+1.5	21
11	Rizespor	17	6	3	8	-9	+4.3	21
12	Antalyaspor	17	6	3	8	-11	-10.6	21
13	Konyaspor	17	5	5	7	-6	-6.4	20
14	Trabzonspor	17	4	7	6	+1	-3.9	19
15	Sivasspor	17	5	4	8	-7	-13.1	19
16	Kayserispor	17	3	7	7	-16	-7.2	16
17	Bodrumspor	17	4	3	10	-10	-4.6	15
18	Hatayspor	17	1	6	10	-14	-9.0	9
19	Ad. Demirspor	17	2	2	13	-22	-10.4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	8	2	0	+13	+14.1	26
2	Goztep	8	7	1	0	+14	+5.1	22
3	Fenerbahce	8	7	0	1	+13	+11.4	21
4	Eyüpspor	8	5	2	1	+9	+1.6	17
5	Gaziantep	8	5	2	1	+8	+1.1	17
6	Samsunspor	9	5	2	2	+7	+8.0	17
7	Buyuksehyr	8	4	4	0	+11	+7.7	16
8	Besiktas	8	5	1	2	+4	+5.7	16
9	Antalyaspor	9	5	1	3	-2	-3.9	16
10	Trabzonspor	8	4	3	1	+7	+1.2	15
11	Alanyaspor	9	4	3	2	+4	+3.7	15
12	Sivasspor	9	3	3	3	+0	-5.5	12
13	Rizespor	9	3	3	3	-1	+5.7	12
14	Bodrumspor	9	3	2	4	+2	-1.1	11
15	Konyaspor	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.2	10
16	Kasimpasa	9	1	4	4	-5	+2.0	7
17	Hatayspor	9	1	4	4	-5	-1.1	7
18	Kayserispor	8	1	3	4	-10	-3.3	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	9	1	0	8	-13	-2.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	7	0	0	+16	+3.4	21
2	Fenerbahce	9	5	3	1	+13	+8.2	18
3	Samsunspor	8	5	1	2	+6	+3.4	16
4	Kasimpasa	8	3	5	0	+4	-2.3	14
5	Eyüpspor	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.9	13
6	Besiktas	9	2	5	2	+3	+0.2	11
7	Buyuksehyr	9	3	1	5	-6	-0.8	10
8	Kayserispor	9	2	4	3	-6	-3.9	10
9	Konyaspor	10	3	1	6	-7	-7.5	10
10	Rizespor	8	3	0	5	-8	-1.4	9
11	Sivasspor	8	2	1	5	-7	-7.6	7
12	Goztep	9	1	3	5	-5	-0.0	6
13	Alanyaspor	8	1	3	4	-6	-2.2	6
14	Antalyaspor	8	1	2	5	-9	-6.6	5
15	Ad. Demirspor	8	1	2	5	-9	-7.6	5
16	Gaziantep	9	1	2	6	-10	-6.3	5
17	Trabzonspor	9	0	4	5	-6	-5.2	4
18	Bodrumspor	8	1	1	6	-12	-3.5	4
19	Hatayspor	8	0	2	6	-9	-7.8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.