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Süper Lig

Referee: B Şimşek

Kayserispor

T T U U U

2–1

Full-time

Samsunspor

U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

0,3

0,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,0

This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,07 xG 1,36

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 14. · Samsunspor 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+3	+5.0	6
2	Sivasspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.4	5
3	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.2	5
4	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.7	5
5	Hatayspor	2	1	1	0	+4	+2.1	4
6	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.0	4
7	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
8	Ad. Demirspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
9	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
10	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
11	Karagumruk	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.1	3
12	Trabzonspor	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.5	3
13	İstanbulspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
14	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.4	2
15	Antalyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.5	2
16	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.5	2
17	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.1	1
18	Samsunspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.1	1
19	Buyuksehyr	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.0	0
20	Gaziantep	3	0	0	3	-5	-4.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
2	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.5	4
3	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
4	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.3	3
5	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.8	3
6	Ad. Demirspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.8	3
8	Sivasspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
9	Antalyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	İstanbulspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
11	Ankaragücü	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
12	Besiktas	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
13	Rizespor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
14	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
15	Hatayspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
16	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
17	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
18	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
19	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
20	Pendikspor	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hatayspor	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Sivasspor	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
3	Karagumruk	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
4	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
5	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
6	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
7	Pendikspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
8	İstanbulspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
9	Konyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
10	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
11	Ad. Demirspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
12	Samsunspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
13	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
14	Galatasaray	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
15	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
16	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
17	Ankaragücü	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
18	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
19	Trabzonspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.3	0
20	Gaziantep	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.