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Süper Lig

Referee: H Meler

Ad. Demirspor

T S S T T

0–4

Full-time

Fenerbahce

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 42%

11%

72%

Points per game

0,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

61%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

0,8

2,5

Conceded

2,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,24 xG 4,14

41% Possession 59%

3 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 10

1 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 11

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 19. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	19	16	3	0	+30	+20.0	51
2	Fenerbahce	18	13	3	2	+27	+20.9	42
3	Samsunspor	19	11	4	4	+14	+9.6	37
4	Goztep	19	10	4	5	+15	+11.0	34
5	Eyüpspor	19	9	6	4	+13	+1.2	33
6	Besiktas	19	8	7	4	+8	+7.7	31
7	Buyuksehyr	19	8	5	6	+6	+7.5	29
8	Gaziantep	19	7	5	7	-1	-4.5	26
9	Rizespor	19	7	3	9	-10	+5.4	24
10	Trabzonspor	18	5	7	6	+6	-2.8	22
11	Alanyaspor	19	5	7	7	-5	-1.2	22
12	Kasimpasa	19	4	10	5	-6	-4.1	22
13	Konyaspor	19	5	6	8	-7	-6.5	21
14	Antalyaspor	19	6	3	10	-17	-14.9	21
15	Sivasspor	18	5	5	8	-7	-12.9	20
16	Bodrumspor	19	4	4	11	-11	-4.8	16
17	Kayserispor	18	3	7	8	-17	-7.1	16
18	Hatayspor	19	1	7	11	-15	-13.2	10
19	Ad. Demirspor	18	2	2	14	-23	-11.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Goztep	10	9	1	0	+20	+11.1	28
2	Galatasaray	10	8	2	0	+13	+14.1	26
3	Fenerbahce	8	7	0	1	+13	+11.4	21
4	Gaziantep	10	6	3	1	+9	+1.8	21
5	Eyüpspor	9	6	2	1	+12	+4.1	20
6	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+5	+7.5	20
7	Buyuksehyr	10	5	4	1	+12	+8.2	19
8	Trabzonspor	9	5	3	1	+12	+2.3	18
9	Samsunspor	9	5	2	2	+7	+8.0	17
10	Antalyaspor	9	5	1	3	-2	-3.9	16
11	Alanyaspor	9	4	3	2	+4	+3.7	15
12	Sivasspor	10	3	4	3	+0	-5.3	13
13	Rizespor	9	3	3	3	-1	+5.7	12
14	Bodrumspor	9	3	2	4	+2	-1.1	11
15	Konyaspor	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.1	11
16	Hatayspor	11	1	5	5	-6	-5.4	8
17	Kasimpasa	9	1	4	4	-5	+2.0	7
18	Kayserispor	9	1	3	5	-11	-3.2	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	9	1	0	8	-13	-2.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+17	+5.9	25
2	Fenerbahce	10	6	3	1	+14	+9.5	21
3	Samsunspor	10	6	2	2	+7	+1.6	20
4	Kasimpasa	10	3	6	1	-1	-6.1	15
5	Eyüpspor	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.9	13
6	Rizespor	10	4	0	6	-9	-0.2	12
7	Besiktas	9	2	5	2	+3	+0.2	11
8	Buyuksehyr	9	3	1	5	-6	-0.8	10
9	Kayserispor	9	2	4	3	-6	-3.9	10
10	Konyaspor	10	3	1	6	-7	-7.5	10
11	Sivasspor	8	2	1	5	-7	-7.6	7
12	Alanyaspor	10	1	4	5	-9	-4.9	7
13	Goztep	9	1	3	5	-5	-0.0	6
14	Gaziantep	9	1	2	6	-10	-6.3	5
15	Ad. Demirspor	9	1	2	6	-10	-8.4	5
16	Bodrumspor	10	1	2	7	-13	-3.7	5
17	Antalyaspor	10	1	2	7	-15	-11.0	5
18	Trabzonspor	9	0	4	5	-6	-5.2	4
19	Hatayspor	8	0	2	6	-9	-7.8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.