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Europa League
Referee: I Peljto
Fenerbahce
S S S S T
0–2
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
40%
80%
Points per game
1,6
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
100%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,38 xG 1,48
53% Possession 47%
4 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Fenerbahce Ath Bilbao
5′
⚽ I. Williams 0–1
Gorka Guruzeta
7′
🟨 Yeray Álvarez
38′
🔁 Álex Berenguer
↦ Nico Williams
45′
⚽ I. Williams 0–2
Oihan Sancet
Half-time 0–2
Ç. Söyüncü 🔁
↦ S. Akaydin
46′
46′
🔁 Dani Vivian
↦ Yeray
Mert Müldür 🟨
57′
E. Džeko 🔁
↦ S. Szymański
61′
67′
🔁 Beñat Prados
↦ Mikel Jauregizar
67′
🔁 Unai Gómez
↦ Gorka Guruzeta
Mert Müldür 🟨
69′
Mert Müldür 🟥
69′
C. Ünder 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
72′
İ. Kahveci 🔁
↦ A. Saint-Maximin
73′
80′
🟨 Unai Gómez
85′
🔁 Mikel Vesga
↦ I. Williams
Sofyan Amrabat 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Oihan Sancet
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
3 S. Akaydin D
6 A. Djiku D
16 M. Müldür D
5 İ. Yüksek M
34 S. Amrabat M
10 D. Tadić M
53 S. Szymański M
97 A. Saint-Maximin M
19 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (9)
4 Ç. Söyüncü
9 E. Džeko
20 C. Ünder
17 İ. Kahveci
50 Rodrigo Becão
23 C. Tosun
95 Y. Akçiçek
54 E. Çetin
57 E. Biterge

Coach: José Mourinho

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
13 Julen Agirrezabala G
2 Andoni Gorosabel D
5 Yeray D
4 Aitor Paredes D
17 Yuri D
23 Mikel Jauregizar M
16 Ruíz de Galarreta M
9 I. Williams M
8 Oihan Sancet M
10 Nico Williams M
12 Gorka Guruzeta F
Bench (12)
7 Álex Berenguer
3 Dani Vivian
24 Beñat Prados
20 Unai Gómez
6 Mikel Vesga
14 Unai Núñez
18 De Marcos
15 Lekue
22 Nico Serrano
32 Adama Boiro
1 Unai Simón
11 Álvaro Djaló

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.