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Pro League

Referee: N Verboomen

St. Gilloise

U S S T S

1–0

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

14%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

46%

21%

Both score Ø 52%

54%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,9

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,69 xG 0,39

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St. Gilloise 7. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	10	3	1	+22	+14.4	33
2	Genk	14	10	2	2	+13	+15.5	32
3	Anderlecht	15	8	5	2	+18	+9.3	29
4	Antwerp	13	8	4	1	+19	+4.1	28
5	Gent	16	7	6	3	+14	+0.3	27
6	Cercle Brugge	17	6	4	7	-10	-4.7	22
7	St. Gilloise	13	5	6	2	+6	+8.2	21
8	Charleroi	14	6	3	5	+2	+3.0	21
9	Dender	16	5	6	5	-2	-5.9	21
10	Standard	13	5	3	5	-8	-7.5	18
11	St Truiden	17	4	4	9	-18	-7.7	16
12	Mechelen	15	4	3	8	-2	-3.2	15
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	2	7	5	-4	+1.9	13
14	Westerlo	14	3	3	8	-4	-1.8	12
15	Kortrijk	18	3	1	14	-27	-11.9	10
16	Beerschot VA	17	1	6	10	-19	-14.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	8	7	1	0	+13	+9.2	22
2	Gent	8	5	2	1	+14	+3.1	17
3	Club Brugge	6	5	1	0	+16	+10.7	16
4	Standard	7	5	1	1	+4	-2.2	16
5	Anderlecht	8	4	3	1	+8	+3.7	15
6	Cercle Brugge	8	4	2	2	-1	+0.3	14
7	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
8	Charleroi	7	4	1	2	+4	+4.3	13
9	St Truiden	9	3	4	2	-1	+0.4	13
10	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+6	+8.5	12
11	Westerlo	8	3	2	3	+5	+8.8	11
12	Mechelen	8	3	2	3	+4	+0.8	11
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	2	5	1	+3	+3.5	11
14	Kortrijk	9	3	0	6	-7	-1.6	9
15	Beerschot VA	8	1	5	2	-1	-3.6	8
16	Dender	7	1	3	3	-1	-2.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Antwerp	7	4	3	0	+5	-1.4	15
3	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
4	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.6	14
5	Genk	6	3	1	2	+0	+6.3	10
6	Gent	8	2	4	2	+0	-2.9	10
7	St. Gilloise	8	1	6	1	+0	-0.3	9
8	Charleroi	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.2	8
9	Cercle Brugge	9	2	2	5	-9	-4.9	8
10	Mechelen	7	1	1	5	-6	-4.0	4
11	St Truiden	8	1	0	7	-17	-8.2	3
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	0	2	4	-7	-1.5	2
13	Standard	6	0	2	4	-12	-5.4	2
14	Westerlo	6	0	1	5	-9	-10.5	1
15	Beerschot VA	9	0	1	8	-18	-10.5	1
16	Kortrijk	9	0	1	8	-20	-10.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.