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Süper Lig
Referee: A Palabıyık
Ad. Demirspor
S T S U S
1–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
This season — Süper Lig · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 60%
50%
70%
Points per game
1,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
60%
70%
Both score Ø 55%
65%
45%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,6
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
20 Shots 25
9 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 10
3 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 6. · Fenerbahce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 21 16 3 2 +29 51
2 Fenerbahce 20 14 2 4 +28 44
3 Buyuksehyr 21 12 4 5 +11 40
4 Besiktas 20 11 6 3 +16 39
5 Trabzonspor 21 11 5 5 +6 38
6 Ad. Demirspor 20 10 7 3 +18 37
7 Kayserispor 21 10 2 9 +4 32
8 Konyaspor 21 6 9 6 +2 27
9 Gaziantep 21 6 7 8 +2 25
10 Alanyaspor 21 6 7 8 -7 25
11 Karagumruk 20 5 8 7 +1 23
12 Ankaragücü 20 6 4 10 -7 22
13 Kasimpasa 21 6 4 11 -13 22
14 Sivasspor 21 5 6 10 -6 21
15 Antalyaspor 20 6 3 11 -9 21
16 Giresunspor 21 5 6 10 -18 21
17 Hatayspor 20 5 5 10 -20 20
18 İstanbulspor 21 5 3 13 -23 18
19 Ümraniyespor 21 3 5 13 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Fenerbahce
16′
ℹ️ Mert Hakan Yandaş
VAR: Goal cancelled
Babajide David Akintola ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
29′
30′
🟨 İrfan Can Kahveci
Half-time 0–0
Henry Onyekuru 🟨
55′
61′
🔁 M. Zajc
↦ M. Yandaş
61′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ İ. Kahveci
74′
🟨 Michy Batshuayi
Jonas Svensson 🟨
75′
77′
🔁 A. Güler
↦ D. Rossi
C. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ Y. Belhanda
78′
Y. Sarı 🔁
↦ E. Akbaba
78′
78′
🔁 J. King
↦ M. Batshuayi
83′
🟨 Altay Bayındır
1–0 C. Ndiaye
84′
88′
E. Valencia 1–1
Willian Arão
89′
ℹ️ Enner Valencia
VAR: Goal confirmed
G. İnler 🔁
↦ H. Onyekuru
89′
93′
🔁 E. Mor
↦ Lincoln
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-4
25 E. Özbir G
22 J. Svensson D
45 M. Çetin D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
90 B. Stambouli M
17 P. N'Diaye M
11 D. Akintola M
20 E. Akbaba M
10 Y. Belhanda M
7 H. Onyekuru M
Bench (10)
29 C. Ndiaye
26 Y. Sarı
88 G. İnler
16 İ. Çokçalış
3 A. Dursun
39 V. Karakuş
8 B. Bjarnason
15 J. Manev
50 E. Öztümer
30 G. Töre

Coach: V. Montella

Fenerbahce

4-1-3-2
1 A. Bayındır G
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
3 S. Akaydin D
41 A. Szalai D
18 Lincoln D
5 Willian Arão M
9 D. Rossi M
8 M. Yandaş M
17 İ. Kahveci M
23 M. Batshuayi F
13 E. Valencia F
Bench (10)
26 M. Zajc
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
10 A. Güler
15 J. King
99 E. Mor
80 İ. Yüksek
70 İ. Eğribayat
2 Gustavo Henrique
19 S. Dursun
28 Luan Peres

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,27
U ✓
3,75
B
2,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Palabıyık · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.