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Süper Lig

Referee: O Ergün

Fenerbahce

S S S T T

3–1

Full-time

Buyuksehyr

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Buyuksehyr

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 57%

71%

43%

Points per game

2,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

64%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,6

1,7

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,21 xG 0,64

63% Possession 37%

22 Shots 2

7 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

14 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Buyuksehyr 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	12	2	0	+23	+14.9	38
2	Fenerbahce	14	10	2	2	+23	+17.1	32
3	Samsunspor	15	9	2	4	+12	+8.6	29
4	Eyüpspor	16	7	5	4	+7	-2.8	26
5	Besiktas	14	7	4	3	+8	+6.8	25
6	Goztep	15	7	4	4	+7	+5.1	25
7	Buyuksehyr	14	6	4	4	+6	+4.4	22
8	Antalyaspor	15	6	3	6	-6	-8.5	21
9	Konyaspor	16	5	5	6	-5	-5.4	20
10	Rizespor	15	6	2	7	-6	+2.8	20
11	Kasimpasa	15	4	7	4	-1	+0.5	19
12	Gaziantep	15	5	3	7	-4	-4.3	18
13	Sivasspor	16	5	3	8	-7	-12.1	18
14	Alanyaspor	15	4	5	6	-3	+1.2	17
15	Trabzonspor	14	3	7	4	+2	+0.4	16
16	Kayserispor	15	3	6	6	-12	-6.9	15
17	Bodrumspor	15	4	2	9	-9	-5.8	14
18	Hatayspor	15	1	6	8	-11	-8.0	9
19	Ad. Demirspor	14	0	2	12	-24	-7.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	6	2	0	+11	+12.1	20
2	Goztep	7	6	1	0	+11	+4.3	19
3	Eyüpspor	7	5	1	1	+9	+1.6	16
4	Antalyaspor	8	5	1	2	+1	-2.5	16
5	Buyuksehyr	7	4	3	0	+11	+5.4	15
6	Fenerbahce	6	5	0	1	+10	+8.9	15
7	Besiktas	7	5	0	2	+4	+4.9	15
8	Samsunspor	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.2	14
9	Gaziantep	7	4	2	1	+6	+0.5	14
10	Trabzonspor	7	3	3	1	+6	+2.6	12
11	Alanyaspor	8	3	3	2	+3	+2.7	12
12	Sivasspor	8	3	2	3	+0	-4.6	11
13	Rizespor	8	3	2	3	-1	+3.4	11
14	Bodrumspor	8	3	1	4	+2	-0.8	10
15	Konyaspor	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.2	10
16	Hatayspor	8	1	4	3	-3	-2.2	7
17	Kasimpasa	8	1	3	4	-5	+0.5	6
18	Kayserispor	7	1	3	3	-6	-2.7	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	0	7	-13	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	6	0	0	+12	+2.8	18
2	Fenerbahce	8	5	2	1	+13	+8.2	17
3	Samsunspor	7	5	0	2	+6	+2.4	15
4	Kasimpasa	7	3	4	0	+4	-0.0	13
5	Besiktas	7	2	4	1	+4	+1.9	10
6	Eyüpspor	9	2	4	3	-2	-4.3	10
7	Konyaspor	9	3	1	5	-6	-6.5	10
8	Rizespor	7	3	0	4	-5	-0.6	9
9	Kayserispor	8	2	3	3	-6	-4.2	9
10	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.0	7
11	Sivasspor	8	2	1	5	-7	-7.6	7
12	Goztep	8	1	3	4	-4	+0.7	6
13	Alanyaspor	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.5	5
14	Antalyaspor	7	1	2	4	-7	-6.0	5
15	Trabzonspor	7	0	4	3	-4	-2.2	4
16	Gaziantep	8	1	1	6	-10	-4.8	4
17	Bodrumspor	7	1	1	5	-11	-5.0	4
18	Hatayspor	7	0	2	5	-8	-5.8	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	2	5	-11	-6.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.