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Süper Lig
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Fenerbahce
S S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,49 xG 0,27
53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 4
5 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Apr -24 Fenerbahce – Ad. Demirspor 4–2 12. Nov -23 Ad. Demirspor – Fenerbahce 0–0 2. Feb -23 Ad. Demirspor – Fenerbahce 1–1 22. Aug -22 Fenerbahce – Ad. Demirspor 4–2 10. Jan -22 Fenerbahce – Ad. Demirspor 1–2

Match report

Fenerbahce Ad. Demirspor
16′
🟨 Maestro
Jayden Oosterwolde 🟨
27′
1–0 E. Džeko ⚽
A. Saint-Maximin
34′
40′
🟨 Milad Mohammadi
Half-time 1–0
65′
🔁 B. Balat
↦ Y. Sarı
M. Müldür 🔁
↦ B. Osayi-Samuel
76′
B. Elmaz 🔁
↦ A. Saint-Maximin
76′
Y. En-Nesyri 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
76′
77′
🔁 N. Alioui
↦ T. Aydoğan
77′
🔁 B. Fougeu
↦ J. Manev
77′
🔁 A. Burak
↦ José Rodríguez
87′
🔁 A. Kol
↦ É. Michut
Ç. Söyüncü 🔁
↦ F. Kadıoğlu
88′
Bartuğ Elmaz 🟨
90′
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ İ. Kahveci
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
6 A. Djiku D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
5 İ. Yüksek M
53 S. Szymański M
17 İ. Kahveci M
10 D. Tadić M
97 A. Saint-Maximin M
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (10)
16 M. Müldür
28 B. Elmaz
19 Y. En-Nesyri
2 Ç. Söyüncü
70 O. Aydın
33 R. Krunić
23 C. Tosun
20 C. Ünder
54 E. Çetin
50 Rodrigo Becão

Coach: José Mourinho

Ad. Demirspor

5-3-2
27 D. Dönmezer G
15 J. Manev D
4 S. Güler D
5 A. Gravillon D
6 José Rodríguez D
13 M. Mohammadi D
8 T. Aydoğan M
58 Maestro M
20 É. Michut M
7 Y. Sarı F
11 Y. Barası F
Bench (10)
21 B. Balat
10 N. Alioui
93 B. Fougeu
23 A. Burak
80 A. Kol
39 V. Karakuş
17 A. Aymbetov
29 F. Shehu
16 İ. Çelik
22 A. Aktaş

Coach: M. Valkanis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,14
🔒
U
8,62
🔒
B
14,64
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,27
🔒
U2,5 ✓
3,60
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.