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Süper Lig

Referee: E Özdamar

Ad. Demirspor

T T T S S

0–1

Full-time

Buyuksehyr

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Buyuksehyr

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 26%

13%

38%

Points per game

0,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

69%

56%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

0,9

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,54 xG 1,33

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

6 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 19. · Buyuksehyr 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	14	2	0	+28	+16.7	44
2	Fenerbahce	16	11	3	2	+25	+17.6	36
3	Samsunspor	16	9	3	4	+12	+9.6	30
4	Goztep	16	8	4	4	+10	+5.9	28
5	Besiktas	17	7	6	4	+7	+5.9	27
6	Eyüpspor	17	7	6	4	+7	-2.7	27
7	Buyuksehyr	16	6	5	5	+4	+6.1	23
8	Gaziantep	16	6	3	7	-2	-3.7	21
9	Alanyaspor	17	5	6	6	-2	+1.5	21
10	Antalyaspor	16	6	3	7	-8	-9.1	21
11	Rizespor	17	6	3	8	-9	+4.3	21
12	Kasimpasa	16	4	8	4	-1	-1.8	20
13	Konyaspor	17	5	5	7	-6	-6.4	20
14	Trabzonspor	16	4	7	5	+2	-2.2	19
15	Sivasspor	17	5	4	8	-7	-13.1	19
16	Kayserispor	16	3	6	7	-16	-7.5	15
17	Bodrumspor	16	4	2	10	-10	-4.4	14
18	Hatayspor	16	1	6	9	-13	-7.0	9
19	Ad. Demirspor	16	2	2	12	-21	-9.6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	7	2	0	+12	+13.3	23
2	Goztep	8	7	1	0	+14	+5.1	22
3	Fenerbahce	7	6	0	1	+12	+9.4	18
4	Eyüpspor	8	5	2	1	+9	+1.6	17
5	Gaziantep	8	5	2	1	+8	+1.1	17
6	Buyuksehyr	8	4	4	0	+11	+7.7	16
7	Besiktas	8	5	1	2	+4	+5.7	16
8	Antalyaspor	8	5	1	2	+1	-2.5	16
9	Trabzonspor	8	4	3	1	+7	+1.2	15
10	Alanyaspor	9	4	3	2	+4	+3.7	15
11	Samsunspor	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.2	14
12	Sivasspor	9	3	3	3	+0	-5.5	12
13	Rizespor	9	3	3	3	-1	+5.7	12
14	Bodrumspor	8	3	1	4	+2	-0.8	10
15	Konyaspor	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.2	10
16	Hatayspor	9	1	4	4	-5	-1.1	7
17	Kasimpasa	8	1	3	4	-5	+0.5	6
18	Kayserispor	8	1	3	4	-10	-3.3	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	8	1	0	7	-12	-2.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	7	0	0	+16	+3.4	21
2	Fenerbahce	9	5	3	1	+13	+8.2	18
3	Samsunspor	8	5	1	2	+6	+3.4	16
4	Kasimpasa	8	3	5	0	+4	-2.3	14
5	Besiktas	9	2	5	2	+3	+0.2	11
6	Eyüpspor	9	2	4	3	-2	-4.3	10
7	Konyaspor	10	3	1	6	-7	-7.5	10
8	Kayserispor	8	2	3	3	-6	-4.2	9
9	Rizespor	8	3	0	5	-8	-1.4	9
10	Sivasspor	8	2	1	5	-7	-7.6	7
11	Buyuksehyr	8	2	1	5	-7	-1.6	7
12	Goztep	8	1	3	4	-4	+0.7	6
13	Alanyaspor	8	1	3	4	-6	-2.2	6
14	Antalyaspor	8	1	2	5	-9	-6.6	5
15	Ad. Demirspor	8	1	2	5	-9	-7.6	5
16	Trabzonspor	8	0	4	4	-5	-3.4	4
17	Gaziantep	8	1	1	6	-10	-4.8	4
18	Bodrumspor	8	1	1	6	-12	-3.5	4
19	Hatayspor	7	0	2	5	-8	-5.8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.