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Serie B
Referee: M Perri
Sassuolo
S S T S S
5–3
Full-time
Sudtirol
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 48%
71%
24%
Points per game
2,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
62%
52%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
2,1
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

68% Possession 32%
19 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 1. · Sudtirol 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 21 15 4 2 +25 49
2 Pisa 21 13 5 3 +16 44
3 Spezia 21 10 9 2 +16 39
4 Cremonese 22 10 6 6 +10 36
5 Juve Stabia 21 7 9 5 -1 30
6 Bari 22 6 11 5 +4 29
7 Cesena 22 8 5 9 +0 29
8 Catanzaro 21 5 13 3 +4 28
9 Palermo 21 7 6 8 +3 27
10 Mantova 22 6 9 7 -3 27
11 Carrarese 21 7 6 8 -3 27
12 Modena 22 5 11 6 -1 26
13 Brescia 22 5 10 7 -3 25
14 Reggiana 22 6 7 9 -3 25
15 Cittadella 22 6 7 9 -13 25
16 Cosenza 22 4 10 8 -6 22
17 Sampdoria 22 4 9 9 -8 21
18 Salernitana 22 5 6 11 -10 21
19 Frosinone 22 4 9 9 -13 21
20 Sudtirol 21 5 4 12 -14 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Nov -24 Sudtirol – Sassuolo 0–1

Match report

Sassuolo Sudtirol
3′
R. Odogwu 0–1
K. Zedadka
7′
🟨 Frédéric Veseli
1–1 D. Berardi
J. Doig
9′
11′
N. Pyyhtiä 1–2
R. Odogwu
13′
ℹ️ Raphael Odogwu
VAR: Goal confirmed
35′
🟨 Niklas Pyyhtiä
43′
🟨 Silvio Merkaj
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 M. Rover
↦ S. Merkaj
51′
🟨 Raphael Odogwu
2–2 J. Doig
K. Thorstvedt
55′
3–2 D. Boloca
N. Pierini
58′
64′
N. Pietrangeli 3–3
N. Pyyhtiä
L. Moro 🔁
↦ A. Ghion
65′
L. Lipani 🔁
↦ N. Pierini
66′
A. Laurienté 🔁
↦ S. Mulattieri
66′
4–3 A. Laurienté
D. Boloca
69′
75′
🔁 V. Crespi
↦ R. Odogwu
75′
🔁 A. Mallamo
↦ N. Pyyhtiä
75′
🔁 J. Martini
↦ M. Praszelik
81′
🔁 F. Davi
↦ S. Molina
82′
🟨 Alessandro Mallamo
Pedro Obiang 🔁
↦ D. Boloca
83′
Horațiu Moldovan 🟨
90′
C. Volpato 🔁
↦ D. Berardi
92′
5–3 C. Volpato
92′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
31 H. Moldovan G
23 J. Toljan D
26 C. Odenthal D
80 T. Muharemović D
3 J. Doig D
42 K. Thorstvedt M
8 A. Ghion M
11 D. Boloca M
10 D. Berardi F
9 S. Mulattieri F
77 N. Pierini F
Bench (12)
24 L. Moro
35 L. Lipani
45 A. Laurienté
14 Pedro Obiang
7 C. Volpato
40 E. Iannoni
20 M. Lovato
28 J. Antiste
91 F. Russo
17 Y. Paz
12 G. Satalino
15 E. Pieragnolo

Coach: F. Grosso

Sudtirol

3-5-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
28 R. Kofler D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
34 F. Veseli D
79 S. Molina M
17 D. Casiraghi M
99 M. Praszelik M
18 N. Pyyhtiä M
11 K. Zedadka M
90 R. Odogwu F
33 S. Merkaj F
Bench (10)
7 M. Rover
9 V. Crespi
8 A. Mallamo
6 J. Martini
14 F. Davi
31 M. Adamonis
15 B. Rottensteiner
30 A. Giorgini
24 S. Davì
16 E. Lamanna

Coach: F. Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,17
B
6,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,94
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Perri · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.