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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Antwerp
U S S U T
3–2
Full-time
Westerlo
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 42%
62%
21%
Points per game
2,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
54%
86%
Both score Ø 67%
62%
71%
Average goals
2,8
3,9
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
0,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,34 xG 2,21
63% Possession 37%
11 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 10
1 Blocked shots 4
8 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 4. · Westerlo 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 14 10 3 1 +22 +14.4 33
2 Genk 14 10 2 2 +13 +15.5 32
3 Anderlecht 15 8 5 2 +18 +9.3 29
4 Antwerp 13 8 4 1 +19 +4.1 28
5 Gent 16 7 6 3 +14 +0.3 27
6 St. Gilloise 14 6 6 2 +7 +10.5 24
7 Cercle Brugge 17 6 4 7 -10 -4.7 22
8 Charleroi 14 6 3 5 +2 +3.0 21
9 Dender 16 5 6 5 -2 -5.9 21
10 Standard 14 6 3 5 -7 -6.5 21
11 St Truiden 18 4 4 10 -19 -8.7 16
12 Mechelen 15 4 3 8 -2 -3.2 15
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15 2 7 6 -5 -0.4 13
14 Westerlo 14 3 3 8 -4 -1.8 12
15 Kortrijk 18 3 1 14 -27 -11.9 10
16 Beerschot VA 17 1 6 10 -19 -14.1 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Westerlo
-5′
🟨 Alfie Devine
1–0 V. Janssen
G. Kerk
15′
23′
J. Bos 1–1
36′
G. Yow 1–2
Half-time 2–2
2–2 T. Alderweireld
J. Ondrejka
57′
Olivier Deman 🟨
59′
Toby Alderweireld 🟨
63′
63′
🔁 M. Frigan
↦ I. Sakamoto
63′
🔁 J. Alcócer
↦ G. Yow
A. Valencia 🔁
↦ T. Chery
66′
79′
🟨 Tuur Rommens
F. Adekami 🔁
↦ J. Ondrejka
82′
J. Riedewald 🔁
↦ S. Renders
82′
K. Corbanie 🔁
↦ O. Deman
82′
84′
🟨 Doğucan Haspolat
84′
🔁 S. Sydorchuk
↦ A. Devine
90′
🔁 I. Slimani
↦ A. Piedfort
91′
🟨 Bryan Reynolds
Gyrano Kerk ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
96′
97′
🟨 Emin Bayram
3–2 M. Doumbia
97′
Mahamadou Doumbia 🟨
98′
R. Bozhinov 🔁
↦ G. Kerk
99′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
91 S. Lammens G
54 S. Renders D
23 T. Alderweireld D
33 Z. Van den Bosch D
5 O. Deman D
6 D. Odoi M
20 M. Doumbia M
7 G. Kerk M
9 T. Chery M
11 J. Ondrejka M
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (9)
14 A. Valencia
22 F. Adekami
4 J. Riedewald
2 K. Corbanie
26 R. Bozhinov
61 L. Piselé
79 G. Vandeplas
81 N. Devalckeneer
75 A. Verstraeten

Coach: J. De Roeck

Westerlo

4-2-3-1
99 A. Jungdal G
22 B. Reynolds D
40 E. Bayram D
33 R. Neustädter D
25 T. Rommens D
34 D. Haspolat M
46 A. Piedfort M
18 G. Yow M
10 A. Devine M
5 J. Bos M
13 I. Sakamoto F
Bench (9)
9 M. Frigan
77 J. Alcócer
15 S. Sydorchuk
19 I. Slimani
39 T. Van den Keybus
30 K. Van Langendonck
4 M. Fixelles
23 R. Seigers
36 R. Youlley

Coach: T. Simons

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
4,01
B
4,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.