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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Storks

Nurnberg

T U T T S

2–1

Full-time

Karlsruhe

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,8

4,3

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 41%

35%

47%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

65%

76%

Both score Ø 74%

65%

82%

Average goals

3,6

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

70% Possession 30%

16 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 11. · Karlsruhe 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	18	8	7	3	+17	31
2	FC Koln	18	9	4	5	+8	31
3	Hannover	18	9	3	6	+6	30
4	Kaiserslautern	18	8	5	5	+4	29
5	Karlsruhe	17	8	5	4	+3	29
6	Elversberg	17	8	4	5	+9	28
7	Magdeburg	17	7	7	3	+6	28
8	Paderborn	17	7	7	3	+5	28
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	7	6	5	+5	27
10	Darmstadt	18	6	7	5	+7	25
11	Nurnberg	17	6	4	7	+1	22
12	Hertha	17	6	4	7	+0	22
13	Schalke 04	18	5	6	7	-1	21
14	Greuther Furth	18	5	5	8	-10	20
15	Preußen Münster	18	4	7	7	-4	19
16	Ulm	18	2	8	8	-5	14
17	Braunschweig	18	3	5	10	-20	14
18	Regensburg	18	3	2	13	-31	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	9	7	1	1	+9	22
2	Hamburg	10	5	5	0	+16	20
3	Elversberg	9	5	1	3	+3	16
4	Kaiserslautern	9	4	3	2	+5	15
5	FC Koln	9	4	2	3	+7	14
6	Paderborn	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Nurnberg	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Karlsruhe	8	4	2	2	+2	14
9	Darmstadt	9	3	4	2	+7	13
10	Braunschweig	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Greuther Furth	9	3	2	4	-6	11
12	Preußen Münster	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Regensburg	10	3	1	6	-10	10
15	Schalke 04	8	2	2	4	-2	8
16	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-4	7
17	Ulm	8	1	3	4	-2	6
18	Magdeburg	8	0	6	2	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	FC Koln	9	5	2	2	+1	17
4	Hertha	9	4	3	2	+4	15
5	Karlsruhe	9	4	3	2	+1	15
6	Paderborn	9	3	5	1	+1	14
7	Kaiserslautern	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Schalke 04	10	3	4	3	+1	13
9	Elversberg	8	3	3	2	+6	12
10	Darmstadt	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Hamburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Preußen Münster	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Greuther Furth	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Nurnberg	9	2	2	5	-2	8
15	Ulm	10	1	5	4	-3	8
16	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Braunschweig	9	0	2	7	-20	2
18	Regensburg	8	0	1	7	-21	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.