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Süper Lig

Referee: A Kardeşler

Fenerbahce

S S S T S

4–2

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 57%

83%

30%

Points per game

2,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

63%

57%

Both score Ø 59%

57%

60%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,6

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,01 xG 1,95

58% Possession 42%

22 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Ad. Demirspor 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	31	27	3	1	+49	+41.0	84
2	Fenerbahce	30	25	4	1	+54	+52.2	79
3	Trabzonspor	30	15	4	11	+11	+2.4	49
4	Besiktas	30	14	4	12	+4	+9.6	46
5	Rizespor	31	13	6	12	-7	-3.3	45
6	Kasimpasa	30	12	7	11	-2	-9.0	43
7	Buyuksehyr	30	12	6	12	+3	-0.3	42
8	Antalyaspor	31	10	12	9	+2	+0.4	42
9	Alanyaspor	31	10	12	9	-1	+3.8	42
10	Sivasspor	31	10	11	10	-6	-5.1	41
11	Ad. Demirspor	30	9	12	9	+7	-0.9	39
12	Kayserispor	30	10	9	11	-7	-7.6	39
13	Samsunspor	30	10	6	14	-6	+4.2	36
14	Ankaragücü	31	7	13	11	-3	-5.5	34
15	Hatayspor	31	7	12	12	-5	-5.8	33
16	Konyaspor	30	7	12	11	-11	-10.7	33
17	Gaziantep	31	8	7	16	-13	-14.1	31
18	Karagumruk	31	7	9	15	-5	-14.0	30
19	Pendikspor	30	7	8	15	-27	-11.8	29
20	İstanbulspor	31	3	7	21	-37	-25.4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	16	0	0	+29	+28.8	48
2	Fenerbahce	15	11	3	1	+27	+29.6	36
3	Rizespor	16	10	3	3	+10	+5.5	33
4	Ad. Demirspor	15	9	3	3	+15	+6.4	30
5	Samsunspor	15	9	2	4	+9	+5.9	29
6	Trabzonspor	15	9	1	5	+7	+5.2	28
7	Buyuksehyr	15	8	2	5	+7	+1.3	26
8	Besiktas	15	8	2	5	+7	+6.4	26
9	Antalyaspor	16	6	8	2	+3	+1.9	26
10	Karagumruk	15	6	6	3	+12	-0.7	24
11	Kayserispor	15	6	6	3	+5	+2.6	24
12	Alanyaspor	15	6	6	3	+4	+4.7	24
13	Hatayspor	15	5	7	3	+5	-1.1	22
14	Sivasspor	15	5	7	3	+3	+3.3	22
15	Ankaragücü	16	5	7	4	+1	+1.2	22
16	Kasimpasa	15	6	4	5	-1	-4.3	22
17	Konyaspor	14	5	4	5	+3	+2.2	19
18	Pendikspor	15	5	3	7	-9	-6.1	18
19	Gaziantep	16	4	5	7	-7	-7.9	17
20	İstanbulspor	16	2	3	11	-21	-15.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	15	14	1	0	+27	+22.6	43
2	Galatasaray	15	11	3	1	+20	+12.3	36
3	Trabzonspor	15	6	3	6	+4	-2.8	21
4	Kasimpasa	15	6	3	6	-1	-4.7	21
5	Besiktas	15	6	2	7	-3	+3.2	20
6	Sivasspor	16	5	4	7	-9	-8.4	19
7	Alanyaspor	16	4	6	6	-5	-0.8	18
8	Antalyaspor	15	4	4	7	-1	-1.5	16
9	Buyuksehyr	15	4	4	7	-4	-1.6	16
10	Kayserispor	15	4	3	8	-12	-10.2	15
11	Gaziantep	15	4	2	9	-6	-6.2	14
12	Konyaspor	16	2	8	6	-14	-12.9	14
13	Ankaragücü	15	2	6	7	-4	-6.7	12
14	Rizespor	15	3	3	9	-17	-8.8	12
15	Hatayspor	16	2	5	9	-10	-4.7	11
16	Pendikspor	15	2	5	8	-18	-5.7	11
17	Ad. Demirspor	15	0	9	6	-8	-7.3	9
18	Samsunspor	15	1	4	10	-15	-1.7	7
19	İstanbulspor	15	1	4	10	-16	-10.1	7
20	Karagumruk	16	1	3	12	-17	-13.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.