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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
St Truiden
T T T T S
1–2
Full-time
Standard
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 17/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
24%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
65%
31%
Both score Ø 37%
65%
8%
Average goals
3,4
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
2,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,44 xG 2,43
56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 11. · Standard 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 14 10 3 1 +22 +14.4 33
2 Genk 14 10 2 2 +13 +15.5 32
3 Anderlecht 15 8 5 2 +18 +9.3 29
4 Antwerp 13 8 4 1 +19 +4.1 28
5 Gent 16 7 6 3 +14 +0.3 27
6 St. Gilloise 14 6 6 2 +7 +10.5 24
7 Cercle Brugge 17 6 4 7 -10 -4.7 22
8 Charleroi 14 6 3 5 +2 +3.0 21
9 Dender 16 5 6 5 -2 -5.9 21
10 Standard 13 5 3 5 -8 -7.5 18
11 St Truiden 17 4 4 9 -18 -7.7 16
12 Mechelen 15 4 3 8 -2 -3.2 15
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15 2 7 6 -5 -0.4 13
14 Westerlo 14 3 3 8 -4 -1.8 12
15 Kortrijk 18 3 1 14 -27 -11.9 10
16 Beerschot VA 17 1 6 10 -19 -14.1 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Standard
1–0 R. Ogawa
2′
12′
🟨 Daan Dierckx
Ryoya Ogawa 🟨
27′
42′
A. Zeqiri 1–1
Half-time 1–2
62′
D. Eckert Ayensa 1–2
A. Ferrari 🔁
↦ W. Janssens
69′
S. Juklerød 🔁
↦ R. Ogawa
69′
75′
🟨 Ibrahim Karamoko
79′
🔁 A. Hountondji
↦ A. Zeqiri
O. Dumont 🔁
↦ D. Lamkel Zé
84′
H. Komori 🔁
↦ R. Yamamoto
84′
R. Vanwesemael 🔁
↦ L. Patris
84′
85′
🔁 S. Doumbia
↦ I. Camara
85′
🔁 B. Šutalo
↦ D. Dierckx
89′
🔁 M. Bulat
↦ I. Price
89′
🔁 S. Alexandropoulos
↦ L. Kuavita
91′
🟨 Sotiris Alexandropoulos
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-4-3
16 L. Kokubo G
22 W. Janssens D
20 R. Van Helden D
31 B. Godeau D
19 L. Patris M
13 R. Ito M
6 R. Yamamoto M
2 R. Ogawa M
7 B. Brahimi F
10 D. Lamkel Zé F
91 A. Bertaccini F
Bench (9)
9 A. Ferrari
18 S. Juklerød
14 O. Dumont
41 H. Komori
60 R. Vanwesemael
4 Z. Belaïd
12 J. Coppens
32 J. Mbalanda
53 A. Nhaili

Coach: F. Mazzù

Standard

3-5-2
30 L. Henkinet G
29 D. Dierckx D
25 I. Hautekiet D
88 H. Lawrence D
13 M. Fossey M
8 I. Price M
20 I. Karamoko M
14 L. Kuavita M
17 I. Camara M
9 A. Zeqiri F
11 D. Eckert Ayensa F
Bench (8)
77 A. Hountondji
15 S. Doumbia
4 B. Šutalo
7 M. Bulat
6 S. Alexandropoulos
41 A. Szalai
99 T. Poitoux
55 B. Ghalidi

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U
3,36
B ✓
3,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.