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Süper Lig
Referee: Ç Altay
Goztep
S U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Antalyaspor
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
61%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
56%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,1
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,65 xG 0,39
42% Possession 58%
22 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goztep 4. · Antalyaspor 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 19 16 3 0 +30 +20.0 51
2 Fenerbahce 18 13 3 2 +27 +20.9 42
3 Samsunspor 19 11 4 4 +14 +9.6 37
4 Goztep 18 9 4 5 +14 +7.8 31
5 Besiktas 19 8 7 4 +8 +7.7 31
6 Eyüpspor 18 8 6 4 +10 -1.3 30
7 Buyuksehyr 19 8 5 6 +6 +7.5 29
8 Gaziantep 19 7 5 7 -1 -4.5 26
9 Rizespor 19 7 3 9 -10 +5.4 24
10 Trabzonspor 18 5 7 6 +6 -2.8 22
11 Alanyaspor 18 5 7 6 -2 +1.3 22
12 Kasimpasa 18 4 9 5 -6 -3.0 21
13 Antalyaspor 18 6 3 9 -16 -11.7 21
14 Konyaspor 18 5 5 8 -7 -7.7 20
15 Sivasspor 18 5 5 8 -7 -12.9 20
16 Bodrumspor 19 4 4 11 -11 -4.8 16
17 Kayserispor 18 3 7 8 -17 -7.1 16
18 Hatayspor 19 1 7 11 -15 -13.2 10
19 Ad. Demirspor 18 2 2 14 -23 -11.2 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goztep Antalyaspor
1–0 Juan
L. Nielsen
8′
Juan ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
10′
Malcom Bokele 🟨
23′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Emrecan Uzunhan
50′
🟨 Güray Vural
58′
🔁 M. Djenepo
↦ R. Safouri
Victor Hugo 🔁
↦ K. Matsuki
68′
74′
🔁 M. Yılmaz
↦ A. Gaich
A. Ildız 🔁
↦ D. Tijanič
84′
86′
🔁 A. Townsend
↦ S. Larsson
86′
🔁 O. Petrusenko
↦ S. van de Streek
İ. Köybaşı 🔁
↦ A. Dennis
90′
O. Bayrak 🔁
↦ Juan
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Goztep

3-4-1-2
97 M. Lis G
26 M. Bokélé D
5 Héliton D
22 K. Günter D
24 L. Nielsen M
16 A. Dennis M
20 N. Miroshi M
66 Djalma Silva M
43 D. Tijanič F
7 K. Matsuki F
11 Juan F
Bench (9)
6 Victor Hugo
8 A. Ildız
12 İ. Köybaşı
77 O. Bayrak
18 F. Malak
54 E. Seçgin
30 N. Sangaré
33 T. Durakçay
1 A. Özçimen

Coach: S. Stoilov

Antalyaspor

4-1-4-1
13 K. Pirić G
2 Thalisson Kelven D
89 V. Sarı D
14 E. Uzunhan D
11 G. Vural D
18 J. Kałuziński M
81 B. Samudio M
22 S. van de Streek M
8 R. Safouri M
10 S. Larsson M
9 A. Gaich F
Bench (10)
12 M. Djenepo
27 M. Yılmaz
25 A. Townsend
16 O. Petrusenko
7 B. Balcı
29 H. Ürkmez
21 A. Yiğiter
77 A. Dursun
6 E. Rakip
3 B. Öztürk

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,56
U
4,11
B
5,52
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ç Altay · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.