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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Uğurlu
Sivasspor
U S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Kayserispor
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 34%
35%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
51%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
65%
62%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sivasspor 11. · Kayserispor 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 37 23 12 2 +35 81
2 Fenerbahce 37 20 10 7 +30 70
3 Konyaspor 37 20 7 10 +21 67
4 Buyuksehyr 37 18 8 11 +18 62
5 Alanyaspor 37 18 7 12 +8 61
6 Antalyaspor 38 16 11 11 +7 59
7 Besiktas 37 15 13 9 +8 58
8 Karagumruk 37 16 9 12 -4 57
9 Ad. Demirspor 37 14 10 13 +6 52
10 Galatasaray 38 14 10 14 -2 52
11 Sivasspor 37 13 12 12 +1 51
12 Kasimpasa 37 14 8 15 +8 50
13 Hatayspor 37 14 8 15 -7 50
14 Kayserispor 37 12 11 14 -6 47
15 Gaziantep 38 12 10 16 -8 46
16 Giresunspor 37 12 9 16 -3 45
17 Rizespor 38 10 6 22 -27 36
18 Altay 37 9 7 21 -16 34
19 Goztep 37 7 7 23 -30 28
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 37 5 5 27 -39 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sivasspor Kayserispor
1–0 Jorge Félix
K. Kesgin
21′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Karataş
↦ M. Gavranović
46′
🔁 H. Erkip
↦ Carlos Mané
56′
Miguel Cardoso 1–1
T. Karataş
E. Tak 🔁
↦ M. Albayrak
61′
2–1 K. Kesgin
Z. Erdal
63′
69′
🔁 E. Balcı
↦ İ. Parlak
77′
🔁 J. Janneh
↦ İ. Akdağ
F. Fajr 🔁
↦ Ö. Yiğiter
84′
U. Çiftçi 🔁
↦ Jorge Félix
84′
87′
🔁 M. Özbek
↦ G. Sazdağı
H. Çokyaşar 🔁
↦ K. Kesgin
89′
K. Onaran 🔁
↦ I. Cofie
89′
Full-time 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,71
B
4,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Uğurlu · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.