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Süper Lig
Referee: A Cinek
Ad. Demirspor
T T T T T
7–0
Full-time
Goztep
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-2,2
This season — Süper Lig · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 29%
38%
19%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
51%
59%
Both score Ø 61%
54%
68%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–0

58% Possession 42%
23 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 12. · Goztep 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 38 23 12 3 +33 81
2 Fenerbahce 38 21 10 7 +35 73
3 Konyaspor 38 20 8 10 +21 68
4 Buyuksehyr 38 19 8 11 +20 65
5 Alanyaspor 38 19 7 12 +9 64
6 Besiktas 38 15 14 9 +8 59
7 Antalyaspor 38 16 11 11 +7 59
8 Karagumruk 38 16 9 13 -5 57
9 Sivasspor 38 14 12 12 +2 54
10 Kasimpasa 38 15 8 15 +10 53
11 Hatayspor 38 15 8 15 -4 53
12 Ad. Demirspor 37 14 10 13 +6 52
13 Galatasaray 38 14 10 14 -2 52
14 Kayserispor 38 12 11 15 -7 47
15 Gaziantep 38 12 10 16 -8 46
16 Giresunspor 38 12 9 17 -6 45
17 Rizespor 38 10 6 22 -27 36
18 Altay 38 9 7 22 -18 34
19 Goztep 37 7 7 23 -30 28
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 38 5 5 28 -44 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Goztep
0–1 A. Çankaya
own goal
25′
1–1 M. Balotelli
Y. Akgün
33′
2–1 M. Balotelli
M. Vargas
36′
3–1 M. Balotelli
Y. Akgün
44′
4–1 E. Öztümer
45′
Half-time 4–1
S. Deli 🔁
↦ T. Sanuç
46′
46′
🔁 M. Baku
↦ K. Alıcı
D. Akintola 🔁
↦ E. Öztümer
55′
5–1 M. Balotelli
D. Akintola
61′
6–1 M. Balotelli
Y. Akgün
70′
S. Güler 🔁
↦ S. Akaydin
72′
H. Boyacı 🔁
↦ M. Kapı
72′
74′
🟨 Yalçın Kayan
80′
🟨 Berkan Emir
J. Rassoul 🔁
↦ Y. Akgün
81′
82′
🔁 İ. Malak
↦ F. Di Santo
90′
🔁 A. Çayırlı
↦ Y. Kayan
90′
🔁 Y. Talum
↦ D. Tijanič
91′
🔁 Y. Toplu
↦ E. Özkayımoğlu
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
39 V. Karakuş G
25 A. Uludağ D
5 S. Akaydin D
2 T. Sanuç D
66 İ. Çokçalış D
88 G. İnler M
50 E. Öztümer M
77 M. Vargas M
18 M. Kapı M
9 M. Balotelli F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (10)
91 S. Deli
11 D. Akintola
4 S. Güler
75 H. Boyacı
95 J. Rassoul
67 Birkir Bjarnason
49 A. Murić
8 S. Kurt
80 D. Đoković
89 A. Adıyaman

Coach: V. Montella

Goztep

5-4-1
13 A. Özçimen G
41 B. Emir D
3 M. Mihojević D
4 K. Demirtaş D
2 K. Alıcı D
43 D. Tijanič M
30 Y. Kayan M
23 A. Çankaya D
19 E. Saçıkara M
26 F. Di Santo F
17 E. Özkayımoğlu M
Bench (10)
14 M. Baku
60 İ. Malak
71 A. Çayırlı
72 Y. Toplu
29 Y. Talum
73 K. Özder
75 A. Akarsu
24 E. Bilen
74 B. Arık
90 M. Şentürk

Coach: D. Mutlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,41
U
5,09
B
6,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,38
U2,5
2,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.