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Süper Lig
Referee: S Saka
Galatasaray
T S S T U
3–2
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 38%
36%
39%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
47%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
56%
53%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 13. · Ad. Demirspor 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 37 23 12 2 +35 81
2 Fenerbahce 37 20 10 7 +30 70
3 Konyaspor 37 20 7 10 +21 67
4 Buyuksehyr 37 18 8 11 +18 62
5 Alanyaspor 37 18 7 12 +8 61
6 Besiktas 37 15 13 9 +8 58
7 Antalyaspor 37 16 10 11 +7 58
8 Karagumruk 37 16 9 12 -4 57
9 Ad. Demirspor 36 14 10 12 +7 52
10 Kasimpasa 37 14 8 15 +8 50
11 Hatayspor 37 14 8 15 -7 50
12 Sivasspor 36 12 12 12 +0 48
13 Galatasaray 36 13 9 14 -3 48
14 Kayserispor 37 12 11 14 -6 47
15 Giresunspor 37 12 9 16 -3 45
16 Gaziantep 37 11 10 16 -10 43
17 Rizespor 36 10 6 20 -24 36
18 Altay 37 9 7 21 -16 34
19 Goztep 37 7 7 23 -30 28
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 37 5 5 27 -39 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
U
3,75
B
3,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,28
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Saka · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.