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Super League
Referee: M Jug
AEK
U S T S S
0–0
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,7
This season — Super League · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 65%
52%
77%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
52%
45%
Both score Ø 47%
52%
41%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
4 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · Olympiakos 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 22 17 5 0 +37 56
2 PAOK 22 15 5 2 +22 50
3 AEK 21 11 5 5 +14 38
4 Panathinaikos 23 9 8 6 +2 35
5 OFI Crete 23 9 4 10 +5 31
6 Aris 21 7 8 6 +6 29
7 Aris Thessalonikis 21 7 8 6 +6 29
8 Larisa 23 7 7 9 -6 28
9 Atromitos 22 7 6 9 -4 27
10 Xanthi 23 8 3 12 -10 27
11 Volos NFC 22 7 4 11 -18 25
12 Lamia 21 5 9 7 -10 24
13 Asteras Tripolis 21 6 3 12 -4 21
14 Panetolikos 23 3 7 13 -18 16
15 Panionios 22 4 4 14 -22 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -19 Olympiakos – AEK 2–0

Match report

AEK Olympiakos
Nélson Oliveira 🔁
↦ D. Szymański
31′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Giorgos Masouras
67′
🔁 M. Lovera
↦ G. Masouras
André Simões 🟨
70′
C. Albanis 🔁
↦ D. Verde
77′
83′
🔁 E. Soudani
↦ M. Camara
André Simões 🟨
86′
André Simões 🟥
86′
Petros Mantalos 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Mathieu Valbuena
E. Svarnas 🔁
↦ M. Livaja
89′
90′
🔁 K. Fortounis
↦ M. Valbuena
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-3-3
1 V. Barkas G
21 O. Vranješ D
2 M. Bakakis D
3 Hélder Lopes D
4 M. Oikonomou D
6 N. Krstičić M
20 P. Mandalos M
8 André Simões M
5 D. Szymański M
10 M. Livaja F
7 D. Verde F
Bench (7)
18 Nélson Oliveira
14 C. Albanis
24 E. Svarnas
16 P. Tsintotas
17 V. Klonaridis
44 A. Šabanadžović
27 Paulinho

Coach: M. Carrera

Olympiakos

4-3-3
1 José Sá G
14 O. Elabdellaoui D
21 K. Tsimikas D
66 P. Cissé D
24 O. Ba
28 M. Valbuena M
8 Guilherme M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
19 G. Masouras M
4 M. Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
Bench (7)
22 M. Lovera
2 E. Soudani
7 K. Fortounis
16 B. Allain
76 Bruno Gaspar
77 L. Christodoulopoulos
34 A. Papadopoulos

Coach: Pedro Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,42
🔒
U ✓
3,19
🔒
B
2,12
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,22
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,61
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.